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    Forecasting prices, and Mandelbrot is right.

    The essence of Mandelbrot's work with regard to application in the financial markets can be summarized as "phat tails." And I don't mean the chicks at the bar with big hooters neither. And yes there is applicability. Look at this week's time-price series in the equity indexes as an...
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    FOMC Manana

    Transports have led this market higher and may be worth watching. They were weaker going into expiration as broader market held very firm.
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    Predicting intraday price movement

    Charlie, Peace. You are so right on this.
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    Option effect

    Word. What data are you using OEX, SPX, NDX? Front month. Differential between months. Change in contracts, etc?
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    Trend Continuation Candles

    Charlie Dow, Well I'm pretty sure everybody here can read!!! Good luck with your "Propietary Strategy."
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    Trend Continuation Candles

    Hey I'm not the one selling stuff and then digging at others strategies. The fact that you post "a cleaned up chart" now that you got called on a weak move on your part is O.K. But don't presuppose that which you do not know. That is a mark of a poor trader.
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    Trend Continuation Candles

    Not to be disrespectful but why did you jump on this acting like you're gonna add to the understanding of "less knowledgable traders" then refuse to contribute based on proprietary rights concerns. Give me afriggin' break. How much are your seminars?
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    Option effect

    How much do you think the expiring option profile had to do with this week's rally? Looking at the options in spx it sure seems as though all the puts in the SPX were heavily weighted below 1300. Thoughts?
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    Superior trader, a born talent or can be taught?

    Therein lies the issue with regard to understanding and profiting from the markets. There are many books, speakers, traders, programs, firms, funds, and markets in which people operate many of which may or may not be acting in the participants best interest. Therefore it is incumbant upon an...
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    FOMC Manana

    That was 30 ES points ago. Damn. Stick to the plan man. One of these decades I'll get this sh&%t down.
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    FOMC Manana

    Cash hit 1310 and Monday is post-expiration. Does this mean anything? Did the target get jilted by the rollover in the futures contract from march to Jun 06 and the resultant 10 point shift in premium. Is the prediction accurate and holding? Next week will tell the story. The rest is a...
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    FOMC Manana

    I appreciate your bullish enthusiasm and except for today was bullish for a week straight. But what you probably don't know is I'm always an early short---- sort of a weakness I suppose. I admit I stopped out and I didn't reverse long but I'm just not bullish. I need to lose the opinion...
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    FOMC Manana

    Big deal so I stopped out as the Spoos squeezed one level higher. The thing is I saw the shelf. The dom showed continued support as characterized by a lack of follow through and big orders ticking up 4 handles at a time every time it started to sink. The reason for the fade the top versus buy...
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    FOMC Manana

    Well ES hit 1309.75. That may be all we get to the upside here folks. I'm gonna try to skim off the top if possible unless we get another strong round of buying. Basically wait for the dying pushes up and as they roll over scale in your shorts.
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    Password security for files

    Google "Digital Vault" from Stomp Software. I have been very happy with their offerings.
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    JWH: Curse Of The Bambino On The Trading Floor?

    Sorry for my ignorance. Is Henry's strategy primarily a long-term trend follower of interest rate products and currencies?
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    FOMC Manana

    If anybody is wondering how moving averages fit into the trading plan here's what I'll often do when confronted with a day which appears one-sided like today. Get your game on first. Today the plan as outlined was long above 1282.50. Then when the market moves your way use the high as your...
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    FOMC Manana

    20 point range last three days with a close at the 75% mark with a 15 point gain. We put in a soft bottom today at 1282. 25 point range is prettytypical for a 5 day period and yes we seem to be moving rather horizontally. Drum roll please...... My guess is high tommorrow @ 1293, low at...
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    FOMC Manana

    The nice thing about consolidations is it doesn't matter which way it goes as long as you're with it when it breaks. The enclosed graph shows the move. It's as simple as higher lows vs. lower highs. These are just signposts. Like exit here to go South on Highway 69. But timing is...
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    FOMC Manana

    Consolidation of Friday's move. Very little initiative trading hence the lower volume. Two responsive moves one at the end of the 45 minute opening time bracket to consolidate the range and the other a bounce off of friday's close to further consolidate the range.
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