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  1. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    and every pop a sell. doesnt matter, great moving
  2. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    One old joke from iron curtain time: Soviet general is running in command headquarters and yelling: "Who pressed that red knob!! Who pressed that red knob!!" Soldaty (soldiers) are looking each on other and twisting heads. General stops a while, brush aside and tells: "Aaaaaaaaah, f**k...
  3. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I am afraid that more exactly will be: tonight looks important.
  4. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I think today big traders are laying under trees with open mouth waiting until apple s will falling.
  5. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Looking at overbought situation I think that 1180 is more probable than 1208
  6. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I see real probability of app. 1135 until April end. Carefully with longs although at this moment I look for long (short time) positions. I feel freely trading just 2 days, it was slowly dying during past time. Without volatility I can not trade
  7. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Try find longer periode in past when 20 period MA on daily was not tested (SPY). Because we did not do it there is some more downside in close future with very high probablility. Even PPT will not piss against that strong wind.
  8. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Today?!?
  9. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Hm, there is one logical downtarget for today - 1180. Because the volatility nicely picked up it does not sound so fantasy like than few hours earlier.
  10. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Do not forget about GOOG.
  11. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Yes, but better is start such short at 1204 like at 1200? Btw, previous long was great positon trade.
  12. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I agree that we are surpristingly overbought on daily/weekly but if I look on my indicator setups today we are not overbought intraday - ES can easily go up 3-4 points until it will seriously fight with this problem.
  13. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    I do not know when we will start falling but I think it will be very, very quick. I expect downturn at moment when some greatly positive important news will happen (I think we are waiting just on such moment - buy rumor ...) so the small traders will be afraid short the starting slide.
  14. P

    EBAY=Not worth it

    I am professional ebay seller. You need calculate with fees for relisting items, store, etc. Paypal + ebay fees are a bit more than 14% from my brutto sales. Truth is that paying discipline is much better than earlier but still... it is about half as much as my netto profit. A bit...
  15. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Only very rarely is ES ending month above S2 - and this is 1150. Looking at unemployment number I will be extra cautious with longs today.
  16. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Problem is that I have exactly same feeling and I believe we are not exception. I believe this situation was engineered by "THEBOYZ" and until the small traders will hesitate go long the market will not crash - only AFTER.
  17. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    As minimum change daytrading instrument. I wholehartely believe during last weeks is ES "notdaytradeable". Simple it is too risky because the only chance for success is take small wins with big stop. But if it will suddenly run against you... and it will. I am trading GC and 6E, even they are...
  18. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Volatility absolutely vanished. 5 point move and it feels like fresh breeze in closet. Ah, where are the good old days from year ago!
  19. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Short 34, stop 10 points. Will be once adding
  20. P

    ES Journal Archive (2009 - 2010)

    Unbelievable low volatility looking at fact that we are: 1. beginning trading day 2. starting at R2 This is not normal. I am afraid that we just will stay here like death whale on beach.
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