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i like that:D

i think this conclusion makes little sense. There is everything different between 2000 and 2007 except of one single number on margin debt. For instance: PE ratios, use of leverage and access to it (internet changed a lot), liquidity, corporate leverage (!), the state of the economy, everything...

to increase short in this environment is simply stupid. That said some small protective short may come handy. You may get away with it if you hit the number tomorrow (like <40k) but in the longer term when the most of the world grows north of 8% annually you are going to miss a lifetime...

1. margin is calculated on both long AND short positions.... 2. every long contract has a short contract against it i.e. margin does not tell you much where the market is going - only that vol can potentially shoot up.....

whoa - exactly as expected. Nikkei was way oversold.

0830ET

and you are the one who is spreading them... where did you get that?

hmm... let's see in the morning....:cool:

wow - I did not know people living during these times are still alive... (at least trading-wise) !respect!

for EqtTrdr: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sCY6pI-_y50 p.s. just to remember that one day you will get hurt :cool:

well that's exactly what can happen my friend. I am afraid too that volatility will disappear again.....

what you get depends on your broker - In most cases they will screw you. But of course it should be JPY rate.

wow - I have to pat myself....Yen almost full figure down.

well since I called it Yen is weaker by 50 cents already.... And exactly because rate cuts in US are a wet dream we are going to stay with carry trade for some time - 4.75% interest rate differential is sweet + those who enter it quickly will get Yen deprecciation as a cherry on top of it.....

well - the sooner the better.

thank you Sir - I may ask you manage my money after all....:cool:

what does GLO GLO GLO FUTURES$$$ supposed to mean?

:) yeah. I guess we live in a black decade.

"Implied yields on interest-rate futures dropped about 30 basis points last week, Poole noted. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. ``If a recession were to be starting soon or mid-year, you'd expect to see'' short-term interest rates ``decline by 200, 300 or maybe 400 basis points,'' he...

yes - it is THEM again....