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well - good luck with that. I am betting on flattening sell-off from here...

second that. This board is full of suckers who think that Fed is here to offset their trading incompetence. In fact I think that was the best speech I remember in the past several years - he could not be any clearer.

good question! I saw Eurasia poll recently (asked largely of traders and investment pros) and if I remember well the premium was deemed to be less than $5 (when barrel was $60). So I guess it is somewhere in $5-$10 range ($10 assuming that all tensions in Middle East would go completely away -...

and OP - you should read Businessman's advice from top down - not the other way round. In trading one of the biggest differences is between being brave and being stupid - most of successful traders learn it the hard way though - so go ahead as you wish...

ok - USEFUL advice: instead of pumping money into the market buy yourself a lollypop.:)

OMG! :eek:

to the OP. wtf is this? is this some kind of high school game? I do not understand your plan at all. For instance why do you push yourself into a trade with minimum size? the only thing I got is that you want to be rich - well nothing wrong about that. Just make sure you practice on level 1...

for me bonds matter :D

I am with Ivanovich on this one (assuming he is sarcastic). Yes - there are times when fed is not needed in monetary policy (in fact likely 99%+ of time) but I still see some value added in remaining 1%. If things turn really ugly (panic^5) what do you do? That said I would like to have fed...

huh - now I am happy.

I presume you did the opposite to what I was suggesting. One thing I learned here is that there are a lot of clueless people - which is great for future of trading :D don't worry - it will get better for you :(

:eek: really? :) anyway looks like we are on the same page....

true - this is a bit confusing. But effectively what the fed is saying is that if there is any problem they are ready to helicopter in. That takes complacency back into the market making carry trade attractive again. imho

is this some kind of ito hallucination? by the way there is a "Check Spelling" button when you post, i.e. you can have your vomit grammatically correct. "Brentwood" has maybe something to do with Brent crude but definitely not with the gold standard. Have you ever been to China? No...

very likely i am speaking longer term than you. i did not like the statement at all - US economy needs confident tone from fed especially because of its dependence on foreigner capital inflows. Statement like that undermines price stability, long term yields, dollar and reduces US wealth. If...

wtf it looks that even I will become US market bear. tommorrow looks extremely dangerous - both for bonds and stocks. I bet we will get some talking from the fed soon about how serious they are about inflation fighting - only this time everybody will give a ****.

that's like fixing your car by throwing it over the cliff. both the weak dollar and pile of cash will inflate economy for years - even today the part of the inflation is lagged from dollar depreciation in the past few years...add to it outflow of foreigner money (already happening) and I am...

I feel like an idiot - I was just about to start to believe that this fed is different - and would care about inflation. just another corrupt (or stupid?) bunch of socialists.

one word - "amazing". i sold all my long bonds and increase my gold position.

sure SS - he only build his academic career on explaining why it happens...