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:D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D - that's a f*cking fantastic picture....

shouldn't he be dead already?

yeah - and he is right for the past 4 years - he is calling for recession all that time. This time it is NOT going to be different (because he will be wrong again :)) I use gross as my main contrarian indicator - it is only about calibrating the time lag after which you should enter an...

well that was my point. Still there are a lot of people on ET who think this guy is some kind of a wizard or what.

when commenting after the meeting on CNBC - what a jerk.

great pic!:D

second that! :)

Original Quote from daddyeaux: GDP is negative and has been for awhile..... I can't see how you can think you are correct with GDP. GDP growth is positive for ages and is going to stay positive going forward. Don't make it worse for yourself - you sound like Paul Kasriel from Notherner...

search the forum. if I remember well there are people having similar problems for the past few weeks. It even said in some thread that IB is already working on resolving the issue which - again if I remember well - was pertinent only to the newest version of TWS (which was not properly tested...

at least mde2004 corrected his post and made it less offensive AFTER we abused him - what a jerk. IB finally works fine for both US and EU servers.

i second that - go fuck yourself mde2004.

f*ck IB - bunch of amateurs. of course it says "no problem" - this page is static for few years now - it's more like an ad rather than a helpful info for their customers. there IS a problem to login to standalone TWS today.

since 2005 I am short all the time with various curve positions. I was long only for about 1 week and that around introduction of 30y bond in Feb06 :). Recently I lightened up but mainly because I go on holiday tomorrow and do not want to swallow employment report (which may not come as rosy...

this is a typical "homo sapiens" thread...:)

currently it looks like that we will take this path :D 6. now buy your long term bonds 2. currency crisis 5. start lowering rates 1. gold goes nuts 4. economy is killed 3. interest rates spike

I agree with that - I am gradually less and less bearish USD. The only danger is that Fed screws it up again....

I will disappoint you - it is something I simply remember from university years which is very long time ago. Pick any book on microeconomics and look for Paasche/Laspeyres indices and impact on budget constraint for an agent. :) In general price indices (CPI/PPI) are based on "optimal" baskets...

on a more serious note. what a day we had. 4% GDP price index and as you know this is one of the better numbers to reflect inflation because it includes substitution effects. I was lucky to sell to suckers buying the weak GDP number. Today's data may be blessing for shorts. The next week...

Don't worry - happens to me all the time. Sometimes I even can't find Lance's trades on the ticker - I need to take a break.:D

this is amazing - for 2 weeks a major problem and still no progress. Today I lost few pennies due to this problem because I submitted an order based on "stale" market data - really annoying...