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  1. R

    Pair Trading Question

    What are their betas? I'd hate to assume that dell will drop more than aapl...
  2. R

    A trading epiphany

    Trading size. I found I can be right 60-70% of the time being discretionary and using TA, but none of that mattered if I was taking large drawdowns on losing trades. A lot of people, including myself, wanted/ want to make a lot of money with very little which causes traders to try for home runs...
  3. R

    CL Redux

    That's kind of vague. What time frame? Daily, weekly? Daily charts show us in a bull flag. Or, you can argue we're in a descending channel which is also typically bullish once a breakout is confirmed. Regardless, those are longer time frames and most of us are only in trades intraday.
  4. R

    CL Redux

    Some really good fib retracements today from the 1030 spike down. First time it based at 188 it retraced 32% before falling again, then when it based at 121 it retraced 23% before falling again. We'll see how the rest plays out; just wanted to point it out.
  5. R

    CL Redux

    If we get a close below 102.00, it's going to trigger some more downside pressure. I was in a short around 102.00, but got stopped out on some whipsaw before that 75 tick drop lower. I still haven't figured out how to manage the volatility with stops just yet. Maybe you can't due to its nature...
  6. R

    CL Redux

    They're just completely different. CL is a commodity ES is not CL trades on geopolitical risk, demand/ surpluses, etc CL is correlated with the dollar whereas ES may or may not be depending on the day the list could go on and on. I'm just pointing out the larger differences. They have...
  7. R

    CL Redux

    CL ran into heavy established trendline resistance ~413 which would have been an easy 50-100 ticks depending on your reward parameters late Friday afternoon. I wasn't at my computer unfortunately. Just pointing out the way it's been following great TA this past week/s.
  8. R

    CL Redux

    So what are you going to do about those short puts? If you wanted to, you could quickly turn it into a spread and buy the 100's and essentially cap your loss profile, but I'd be damned if I got caught selling naked on CL.
  9. R

    CL Redux

    If we close below ~103.75, which we likely will, it'll close below the sideways channel lines which would signal more bears to short some more tomorrow. If you believe the overall markets are poised to pull back further, which I do (not a washout, but more than the small pullback we've had) then...
  10. R

    CL Redux

    I was hovering over the sell button at 542 and never pulled because I thought we might channel 25 ticks higher. Been nothing but a bloodbath since! Oh well, you win some and you lose some. Just a 250 tick move...
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