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Sounds about right. Industrials are a bad short with CAT and DE making new highs. During the Great Depression government started a lot of construction projects to create jobs and value, who knows, maybe this time we will see something similar, especially with some critical industries moving back...

Anyone knows what's the narrative behind near ATH for this stock? Are industrials laggin in the realization of what's to come or are they ligitimatelly about to benefit greatly?

We are just using a different method that's all. Happy to hear it didn't shake you out before the dump. For me, we're in a bear market till we see a flush or major higher lows. At the same time I follow many individual stocks that looked perfectly ready for a take off from here for a few weeks...

Last post about rally into the Christmas is a great example how people should not trade of someone else's method without knowing all the intricacies. E.g I'll be out immediately if I feel wrong, might reverse too, and posting here about it won't be a first priority. Stocks were looking strong...

Just realized I kept posting into my previous journal.. Here are links: Monday Tuesday 1 Teuaday 2 I will lock the automated trading journal so it doesn't happen in the future. My "sharing job" there is done now.

Almost every day this come to mind, especially when I think of being stubborn with a position: And this is a rule to live by trading discretionary: It was all very well not to lose your bear position in a bear market, but that at all times the tape should be read to determine the...

Out of volatility in a pre-market, didn't behave right. Just before the news. More long stocks. Inflation data is much better than everyone expected, we're going up into Christmas. Fed is unlikely suprise anyone tomorrow but will see. Edit: Got stopped out of short bonds. 95% long equities...

Closed SPY short after-hours. I think it's wise to wait for the news tomorrow AM and see where price takes us on that instrument. Occasionally price will run favourably for a position ahead of news giving a lower risk posture, but that didn't happen here hense stepping out of it.

Thanks for sharing Peter. A thoughtful analysis. If you did ~0 with MR you did great this year. General market is down ~18%. Capital preservation for the better conditions is the second most important goal after making money. I don't trade Canadian markets. Tested them on the early release of...

Exposure drammatically changed today following what the market was doing. Short term market have positioned itself for a rally. Reduced my short exposure but enough is still on, long AMZN, long volatility, short 20y bonds. Closed shorts on stocks that were looking stronger, kept weak ones. Big...

Had to act very fast around the close on Firday, 3/4 mil$ notional short exposure right now. The stars seems to be aligned for a volatilty spike and mass exit out of equities. Markets don't go up or down in a straight, neither bear markets end with a pretty series of lower lows. Things can go...

Traded that on a small size for a short period of time. It stopped taking trades around Feb I think. That was part of the system.

You can reduce size if you like the system. It's low trade count, very easy to overfit if you start adding too much stuff to it.

Thanks for sharing. Lots of Health Tech stocks are on a move. Those particular ones are very large caps and are a bit slow to my taste, perhaps getting some via options would be a way to trade them. PFE could have been today with a tight stop, BSX maybe. Not both though due to high correlation...

Couldn't resist one more long near the close, a quick run up is quite possible short term, but market continues looking weak, people are very cautious buying into that bounce so far, so locked quick profits and walked away. Looked at options to park idle cash overnight.. near-term yields dropped...

Dividends are deceiving for most people. Eg a friend told me recently she is going to get some stock because it pays 4.95% dividend. I looked at the chart, company lost 25% YTD, so dividend could not possibly a reason to buy it, and yet, that argument is often presented. For the same type of...

Got sucked into timing a bit too much. Out of large portion of short SPY position yesterday, still some long term short stuff on. Went long with a tripple today, it made enough for 1d move in first 30mins, out for now. Made money on both sides this week.

10:26am PST: Good enough move for a day so far. Market might very well go lower into EOD as price action suggests, but betting on much more downside by the close is betting on the unusual now. Was carrying a large shares position in the leveredged inverse and market offered quick opportunity to...

Swing short position in SPY is back on via shares in 3x inverse, long short term puts and calls over different strikes to limit losses or increase upside if market moves from here. Some premium collected on far OOM calls as I'm willing to hold shares till then if makret moves in my direction. If...

That is an interesting point. I'd imagine they will eventually saturate the market with little differentiation of the generated collection. Generative AI Art could be a breakthru for high cost effeciency and enough personal touch. Not sure how to gain exposure there yet though.