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  1. KCalhoun

    Are we now in "safe" bear market?

    What's disappointing is the @#$ cb halt killed volatility and it was a choppy rangebound first hour.... would be great to see some volatility this afternoon
  2. KCalhoun

    Circuit breaker!

    CB halt stopped the selling briefly, bouncing a bit so I'm using tight stops on inverses SQQQ UVXY etc. Bounces in UWT GUSH UGAZ. Choppy af rangebound market after gap down due to halt, maybe volatility picks up in afternoon.
  3. KCalhoun

    Are we now in "safe" bear market?

    I'm mainly short bias $-wise with inverses, i bought small size this am: bear TVIX UVXY VXX SQQQ bull TQQQ TLRY CGC oil: GUSH UWT DWT i'll add to who goes up and take small stops on those that go down, i hedge/arb
  4. KCalhoun

    DOW futures down 800

    i'm not touching it yet, may enter if it gets back over 300 or bounces off 210-230 range later, it's gap filling now 5:15am
  5. KCalhoun

    Saudis Plan Big Oil Output Hike, Beginning All-Out Price War

    dead cat bounce UWT GUSH crushed lol i will buy if bounces
  6. KCalhoun

    S&P 500 Trading Halted

    big gaps in DWT TVIX etc plus down UWT GUSH ... just wow
  7. KCalhoun

    DOW futures down 800

    800 possible within days/weeks, currently at 280 premkt 4:40am ... concern though hope it doesn't implode like XIV did .. epic gap check out DWT wow
  8. KCalhoun

    DOW futures down 800

    So how are you gonna trade it? With a huge gap down it might start the day with dead cat bounce on short covers.... or just plummet down... I'm trading TVIX UVXY SQQQ DWT UWT etc... should be thrilling. Btw I often buy premkt if inverses trending up strongly... anyone else? I called the near...
  9. KCalhoun

    how far could the market go down?

    Clapping .... permabulls bwahaha, we'd been calling time for selloff in January My only top call was here January 24th... nailed it https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/market-top-here-because-tvix-1-year-high-volume-today.339756/
  10. KCalhoun

    Which volatility measure for setting stops ?

    Robert's thinking is exactly right for day trading too. I'm a hardcore day trader (did over 9,000 live stock/etf day trades last year) and I use tape reading, P&L, price action, time of day and whole number plus OHLC based stops, depending on the specific chart. I've traded as much as $4.9...
  11. KCalhoun

    how far could the market go down?

    Smart! I trade TVIX vs TQQQ for flips, spxl also good. I like ur post, ur correct. TVIX is my favorite thing to trade, hope they split it back down to 30ish, it'll easily get back to 800 if it doesn't implode like XIV Ive done thousands of tvix trades, it's usually been false breakout open...
  12. KCalhoun

    DOW futures down 800

    I'm getting excited. Used to get excited over nightclub hotties, now I get excited (mentally) over volatility like this. Got to take a cold shower lol. I love opportunity like this. Anyone else gonna trade DWT UWT?
  13. KCalhoun

    Number of winning days

    NEVER add to losers. It's like going on a 2nd or 3rd date with an ugly chick lol
  14. KCalhoun

    DOW futures down 800

    And I remember when $50/bbl seemed low. I will be trading DWT for sure, if the inevitable gap up continues. Are there any other good crude inverse etfs? Will also buy UWT GUSH if they bounce
  15. KCalhoun

    DOW futures down 800

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/08/dow-futures-drop-700-points-as-all-out-oil-price-war-adds-to-coronavirus-stress.html It's a great time to be a bear, wish I'd held more size in inverses SQQQ TVIX UVXY etc.... market crash underway ... happy bear :p
  16. KCalhoun

    Saudis Plan Big Oil Output Hike, Beginning All-Out Price War

    If there's a big premkt gap down in GUSH UWT I'll buy a bit if gaps down start to fill. Or if DWT gaps up and runs I'll buy that. Tip: often I arb opposite etfs, eg buy a little of both UWT & DWT, then scale into whoever goes up.
  17. KCalhoun

    how far could the market go down?

    Absolutely right, up at these levels I'll likely just day trade TVIX 10 shares at a time with tight stops. My faves for swings are currently SQQQ UVXY VXX SOXS DWT, usually start small with $800 max per trade, eg just 20-30 shares of $20-$30/share etfs like these, then martingale in for wins...
  18. KCalhoun

    Number of winning days

    Great question, it's more about your net profit per week vs up/down days. If I have 3 down days losing total $1100 but have 2 up days $2k and $800 like I did, I'm still net profitable being wrong more days than right. Or weeks/months for that matter. I've day traded since 1999, main lesson...
  19. KCalhoun

    how far could the market go down?

    Right, VIX broke 50 friday, keeping a close eye on it for UVXY trades, plus TVIX small size daytrading... gotta love this volatility
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