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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    We didn't pass 1.2265 - or any substantial over 1.2260 (just 1.2262 briefly) - so it still has some seats left before leaving the station. :) I just had some smoothies to try and cool off a little. Overtrading will get me nowhere really fast.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Now the action around 1.2250+ levels are making me overtrade a bit - a few 1-pip losses and then a nice short to recoup with some profits on the action. I think we'll see 1.2280 today if we don't get back to the 1.2230 ranges for testing ... The market needs to get even.
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I just beat myself over missed opportunities on the short side, but got a 2-pip long instead. Until we break 1.2260 - and go over 1.2265 I won't look at 1.2280 any soon I think. It's difficult to decide if positions are dangerous, or just will stay within range for the next day or so. It still...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Seems like stops are being run again with these funky moves. Oil inventories fell a lot and we might see some even stranger moves given the last days and the european close coming up soon. edit: the last two move seems like just that - shakeouts. I dislike RJ because of the crime, the...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I guess you're staying at the Airport Marriot hotel then - which is quite a longhaul from the city. Going to Morumbi district - below the World Trade center and SP Hilton Morumbi, Morumbi shopping and of course Avenida Paulista should be ok then. There are a lot of things to see and do. There's...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Well, I usually stay in the Morumbi district - for shopping and all, but the biggest shopping street is Avenida Paulista. I also like the Liberdade district with it's lower crime rate and mainly japanese inhabitants (roughly 2mn of them). Many of the restaurants have menus in japanese only...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    No, I'm from europe - moving around partly to find a nice place to live and testing various tax regimes. :) I'm currently at my summery house in northeastern Brazil a few degrees below equator with roughly 30 degrees Celsius all year long. I do prefer living in Sao Paulo and Curitiba, though...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I'm almost more nervous today than yesterday. I'm itching to short around 1.2240 on the december contract, but when watching the chart and how maybe the Yukos delivery stops to China perhaps were politically motivated to make Putin look like he can't control oil exports (which he said would not...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Getting in a little early in my scalps now, so profits are very small .. 1-3 pips. Perhaps take it a little slow, and not try and enter on so many opportunities because there will probably be some erratic behaviour after yesterday's and today's frustrating moves. Yesterday was good with a...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Surprise when I woke up, but I was watching the action just before the european open 6h ago and was frustrated with the 1.2315 break down ... A long trade got stopped out at -6 pips before I went to bed. I was anticipating some 1.2280-levels this morning before another test upwards -- but just...
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    Starting a Hedge Fund

    Interesting ... and more hedging info at the free chapter on the CME : http://www.cme.com/prd/ir/eurodollarhandbook4749.html The Eurodollar Futures and Options Handbook: Chapter 14, "Hedging Extension and Compression Risk in Callable Agency Notes (PDF)"
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Have any of you a index futures, or mainly equities background ? How do you compare the anemic equities to the FX world ? edit: with some positions on the defensive - the market will continue trying to put in some better hurt .. :) Today's asian markets open will be very, very interesting...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Hehe, I have my account funded in €, but let some profits stay in $ .. Therefore I'm always happy to see the € higher .. :)
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    These kind of news - are the BEST NEWS .... :D :D :D Easy gains upwards ahead ... [18:46 EUR/USD: Trendline Broken In Flurry; Sustainability Questioned] Boston, September 21: A tremendous amount of head scratching continues in EUR/USD with dealers noting a money center name buying...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    The dip around RTH margins change and close could be a good opportunity for positions, but as a scalper I'm rather careful right now. It was a given when it reversed from the low dip - and an easy 34 ticks profit registered. I gave back 2 ticks on a short earlier when it was blocked from...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I agree with the market .. let's go long EUR ... :D The lack of new signals from the FOMC is getting viewed as reactionary I think. Energy prices and next year outlook is weighing in. edit: looking at index futures I'm sure glad I'm trading fx futures now ... <pre>| [SPOT]...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    [18:16 US FED: Text of the FOMC Statement ] Boston, September 21-- The following is the verbatim text of the statement the FOMC released following the conclusion of the FOMC meeting. The text is...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    Seems like any stops are going in for a rough time ... [18:04 EUR/USD: Knockouts All The Way Up If Fed Dovish] Boston, September 21: Should the Fed prove more dovish than the market expects, exotic barriers are seen starting from the 1.2300 level all the way up through 1.2500, every 50 pips...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    People still in bad trades now can get nasty suprises ... I believe in stopping trading if you don't have good exit strategies when getting this close. We can see the spot dealers hitting stops right now, while the futures remains more calm - another good reason to use them and not spot. :)...
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    Chinook's EUR/USD (E/$)Mumblings

    I'm not too courageous this (very late) morning and am doing very fast scalps - 2-4 ticks. One short and a few longs. Listening to The Future Sound of London helps offset the UN speech and other noises around ... :) I'm at kind of a loss with what to do before the dust settles after FOMC -...
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