Search results

Just in time for a market crash, a la 1929? The remake of this paean to extreme wealth seems ironically well timed. Thoughts, please.

The four most significant turning points in our lives. Though I'm not quite sure how old you are :p

Sure, and I'd never trade on anything he says - his timing can be out by months, if not years. You'll bankrupt yourself a few times before hitting the big trend he predicts. The point is he is usually warning that the consensus is wrong. Everybody says they understand mean reversion, and...

Wrong, actually. In 1982 he was hugely bullish when the headlines were telling you never to bother with stocks again. In March 2009 he advised to close shorts as there will most likely be a significant bounce. He thought it would be short lived, however, and didn't predict the 4 year "bull...

Prechter is unpopular because he tells people what they DON'T want to hear. But he has an annoying habit of being right. 1982, 1987, 2000, 2007..

Fed Benny's money printing is what's known as MONETARY POLICY. That's all it is. At no point in history has any government's monetary policy kept the stock market going up forever. But this time it's different, right?

The problem is that pretty much 100% of the market now thinks Ben and his printing press will keep the market up forever. When almost everyone thinks one thing will happen, the opposite actually happens.

I just seem to be hearing a lot more about buying the dips now than at any point in the last few years

The point is any idiot can make money in a bull market. You don't hear much about these geniuses when the party's over.

When the market wants to crash, when investors all over the world want to panic, Benny and his printing won't matter a damn. Another meme will be inside people's heads. We are still waiting for the "panic" inflection point.

We just seem to be seeing more and more top indicators lining up. It's getting ridiculous: 1) Mom and Pop investors getting heavily into the market (Q: who's left to invest <i>after</i> these people?) 2) Previously bearish forecasters switching sides, or at least keeping silent 3) A...

I would certainly expect some volatility to (finally) return to the market after so long..

It's already lasted 3 1/2 years longer than I thought it would :confused:

This all just seems like a classic secular bear market from March 2000. We are waiting for the 5th leg. Which will be downwards, and massively so.. What are we all debating exactly? That this bear will be different for some reason?

http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-2298948/Aberdeen-Asset-Management-shares-soar-money-pours-emerging-markets-funds.html

Predictions in general don't work out so well

All the moms and pops rushed in this year, Jan & Feb..

If you have a bank deposit you are nothing more than an ordinary creditor to the bank, behind the secured/senior bondholders. It's surprising how few people realise that.

In fact universal bullishness all by itself causes crashes, e.g. 1929, 1987, 2000. Nothing actually happened to trigger these collapses.

Universal bullishness (like yours) combined with low volume at new all time highs in a secular bear market. The very phrase "what's to crash" sums it up perfectly.