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I loved your comments "antitrust". I will answer them in my own thread and I hope you will respond in this thread. http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3234993#post3234993

Antitrust gave an interesting reply in another post that I think belongs here as well: http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=223253&perpage=6&pagenumber=12 Thank you for the well thought out reply. I am very intrigued and supportive of your thoughts. I have a few...

One difference I was thinking of with animals is the ability to delay gratification. A recent NOVA show was showing 3 year old humans unable to stop eating a gummy bear in the hand, even when given 5 gummy bears if it was still uneaten when the tester returned. 4 years olds seemed to be able...

I agree with Renegen, that one outcome is that we continue to repeat the democracy cycle, albeit with some changes. People voting directly (internet, cellphones) on significant issues is one example. Politicians will fight this side-by-side with lobbyists I think. Both stand to lose control in a...

"If you want to be taken seriously, you might want to actually know the distinction between a liberal and a communist. In fact, during the Soviet revolution, the russian liberals opposed fiercely the communists and were ones of the first to sound the alarm bells. They were both however...

A similar thread idea expressed here http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3231865#post3231865

"Why is it that when the rich receives a financial assistance from the government in the form of a tax deductions and/or tax credits (better known as a tax-loophole), it's considered an incentive but when the piss-poor socially disadvantaged receives a help it's called a welfare?" Excellent...

It is hard for those "winning" the game they play to look at the other side and the implications. It is much easier to shut off the inner voice that seems never to be satisfied.

I agree without that is is often how it happens, but I am wondering more about the what will happen. That leader will bring something. My reason is that understanding of the longer cycles leads to better profits and many people focus on the shorter time frames. Shorter time frames are easier...

Free thinker - an interesting graph. Could you repost it subtracting subsidies to the FED and large banking institutions and inflation. I would interested to see what the curve looks then.

I totally agree with Ian about the ability of the mind to change a person's world, however, I don't think that it follows that people who are poor have a "bad attitude". Nor would simply giving "think positive lessons" help out. Welfare can't be solved by bureaucracy since like most things in...

These are strange times indeed in my view. I am interested in your thoughts on what will arise out of the ashes (assuming something different does arise.) Someone once said "A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the voters discover that they can...

I think of the market as two things: confusion (watch out when it is not confusing) and a risk pricing tool since my profits come from other "traders", I remain as humble as I can be. I used to think of it as a slightly negative zero sum game, but I have recently been convinced...

I respect your case and so will leave you alone after this to present it. In my world: Random DOES NOT necessarily mean all possibilities are equally likely unless you are talking about particular distributions. There are other kinds of distributions and I think the market is likely one of...

"No, these statements are not at odds. It is very doubtful that pure arbitrage exists in the market and even if it does then it is not going to be available to 99.99% of traders. So, it doesn't really conflict. This is the first law of gambling. Any gambling method that is sound is based on a...

Lucias, (meant respectfully): I am having trouble following your comments and the key points you are making because of the wordiness and apparent contradictions. Minds can easily hold multiple contradictions at the same time (as least I can LOL). You said "it is an axiom that is self...

"Raj Rathnaram wa also a good predictor ." I think that he predicted that he wouldn't get caught. He was wrong and still made money (not to mention his lawyers).

I have often thought that the reason real estate does well for most folks is that they can't day trade it. Because of the cone of uncertainty, emotions, and the greater likelihood of making money in a rising market given enough holding time (buy and hold) most of the real estate folks likely...

The answer you seek may partially lie in a related question. If people tried to lose consistently (using similar trading systems), I believe that they would have a lot of difficulty doing that as well. Why is that?

On a related question, how many problems does it take to stump mathematicians? Seriously, the problem statement is very unclear for me. The answer of how many times will you win (once or twice) with two systems, how many times will you win with two signals and one system, how many monte carlo...