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  1. ogarbitrage

    Contango

    Contango = near term prices are lower than long(er) term prices. Upward progression: Jan @ 100, Feb @ 105, Mar @ 110. Backwardation = near term prices are higher than long(er) term prices. Downward progression: Jan @ 110, Feb @ 105, Mar @ 100.
  2. ogarbitrage

    [Newbie Question] Where To Get Commodity News?

    Again you fail to grasp what the OP asked. Actually, by definition, any amount of "loose interpretation" is a lack of reading comprehension. You failed.
  3. ogarbitrage

    [Newbie Question] Where To Get Commodity News?

    Reading comprehension > you He's talking about getting notices of upcoming inventory releases, crop yields, storage capacities, etc. etc. etc.
  4. ogarbitrage

    [Newbie Question] Where To Get Commodity News?

    http://www.pfgbest.com/traders_tools/research/calendar.asp http://www.reuters.com/finance/commodities http://commoditiesupdates.thomsonreuters.com/ http://www.commodities-now.com/ http://www.bloomberg.com/news/commodities/
  5. ogarbitrage

    CME new ag swaps

    Correct.
  6. ogarbitrage

    CME new ag swaps

    Less volatility because it's an average of settlements, occasionally across two underlying months.
  7. ogarbitrage

    Gold and silver trading

    I am not Swiss, but thanks for suggesting my expertise. The only spot market worth anything is a front month futures contract in the US.
  8. ogarbitrage

    Natural Gas

    Yes that squeeze was brutal.
  9. ogarbitrage

    Gold and silver trading

    What spot?
  10. ogarbitrage

    Global Oil Pricing

    Is this a joke?
  11. ogarbitrage

    Global Oil Pricing

    Obvious hyperbole or belying understanding?
  12. ogarbitrage

    Swiss Franc Future

    CHF is pegged to the EUR, so trading CHF/USD is trading EUR/USD. http://bit.ly/p9aNxN
  13. ogarbitrage

    WIDE bid ask SPREAD, can I neutralize this for no loss?

    The opposite put of a 100 delta call would have to be cheap. Assuming in my writing that he could pick it up for a penny, 2 at most.
  14. ogarbitrage

    Cattle Crunch

    Using 3 corn, 4 feeders, and 8 live... J13 live cattle: 1.323 X12 feeders 1.576 Z12 corn 5.5025 I get .08/lb live cattle profit
  15. ogarbitrage

    WIDE bid ask SPREAD, can I neutralize this for no loss?

    cqm, do yourself a favor and read this before doing anymore exotic structures. http://amzn.to/xGYEPC
  16. ogarbitrage

    Finally, I want to give up ES trading!!!!!!!!!

    Cut losses immediately, let winners run.
  17. ogarbitrage

    Long LCJ12 vs. Short FCJ12 Spread

    Dude just put that guy on ignore. I did months ago and it's been smooth sailing since.
  18. ogarbitrage

    WIDE bid ask SPREAD, can I neutralize this for no loss?

    Just buy the same expiration 75 p and let the position expire. You will be trading the long stock against a synthetic short (long p / short c). If theta has killed the value of the put then you may be able to lock into the conversion for a small profit.
  19. ogarbitrage

    Hurry Up - BOMB Saudi Arabia!

    Saudis are US' largest ally in the Mideast.
  20. ogarbitrage

    Who has the best Historical Tick Data?

    I can't even begin to imagine how many terabytes of storage that would require.
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