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I am guessing that software does not know if data is 5 min bars, hourly, daily, weekly or monthly. Lots of software might work. It is necessary to have intraday data to test, and I can not find intraday data anywhere for free.

How does this scenario sound? Panicky fund executives everywhere are looking at trader positions for big exposure to natural gas. Positions are being reduced not for trading reasons but for political / hysteria reasons. Natural Gas contracts get sold and traders do not buy much gas because...

Amaranth might not be the only firm that lost money. Think about where this might lead. Could this become another Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) type event? SP500 is near the high value for the year, could a bear phase follow that lasts about 3 months? I recall the LTCM event...

Since lots of people in the USA like shopping and debt I might keep an eye on Mastercard symbol MA and Equifax symbol EFX.

What new trends do you expect to begin? I imagine if there is a recession it means higher interest rates, bond price decreases, US dollar exchange rate increases, and stock prices generally decrease. What other opportunities do you all perceive?

I want to test on minimum 10 years of price data. Some securities have more than 20 year histories. I vaguely remember seeing over 40 years of price data for corn futures. GE stock might have about 44 years price data. I suspect the longer the better. Sometimes I break the data into parts...

I write computer programs to test trading methods. I can probably write any indicator that you want to create. Send me private mail if you wish.

Price behavior of a security might show 99 % disordered price behavior and 1 % ordered price behavior (sometimes called a trend). The ordered part may only appear occasionaly, perhaps once a year. Trading results could vary depending on the timeframe and method used.

There is no such thing as "will move". Statistics describes the past. No one can predict the future. Anything can happen.

I recall some people writing that securities and stock market indicies are efficiently priced. Does the author have any evidence to challenge the efficient pricing model?

I do not bother trying to understand long term cycles because a trend following method automatically trades long term price movements. I suspect planetary movements have some predictive value because I remember reading that some people in the Middle East, Indian subcontinent, Far East and...

I really do not know what to tell you Justin. What can I say that can convince you to avoid debt? To scrimp and save? To not squander your money on girls or bars? To not buy things? To hold to these principles when people ridicule you and criticize you? The magic of trading is the...

Interesting what he says about different hedge fund managers holding large positions in the same stocks. If they all sell at about the same time then there could be a stock market panic.

I'll write any computer program that anybody wants. Send me private mail.

Can you place stop orders in advance? That way you don't have to execute trades manually.

If Ford fires a lot of people, closes plants, makes cars in China and sells them in the USA then I think Ford will make a lot of money. Ford needs better styling too.

Sounds like you are stubborn. You just talk about change. You don't actually make any changes. Practice feeling stubborn. Just walk around the house feeling stubborn. See where the ideas lead. Maybe on a very deep level you do not like change. That is interesting, because traders make...

Microsoft Excel or Works might be on your computer already.

Contact some existing hedge funds and read their promotional literature, talk to their sales people. Learn from the competition.

For long term position trading ( I may hold a stock for years ) I ignore the news. I do not watch TV or read financial magazines or newspapers. I use one of the long term trend following methods described on elitetrader.com. Basically I buy what goes up and sell what goes down. I have a list of...