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what about the eventual losing streak that kills you in martingale position sizing?

what are your returns and drawdowns like?

you mean increase size after a loser?

pretty easy to see what? can show the charts for dummies version please?:)

you get these 3-4 ideas at the beginning of the year or is it more like you see 3-4 major trends as the year progresses? is your profitability consistent given you trade so infrequently?

interesting thought: lets see if brian hunter can successfully trade his own money now that he's on his own.

b1s2, how many ES trades do you do per year without the options trades? seems lie you trade very little given your holding period.

upside reversal pattern means buy or sell?

how do you know this? let me guess, you are an engineer.

hey be careful about praising those funds you mentioned and saying they're "real" big and successful funds. how do you know they won't blow up too? a month ago amaranth was a "real" big and successful fund too, and prided themsleves on risk management. every fund is real big and successful...

how about a completely free firewall? not zonealarm, works good with everything, and no trial period.

why do you think so?

are these credible?

while we're on this topic, does anyone know of a free anti-virus that you can install on your comp? i'm not talking about the free online scans. i'm talking about something that you can install and completely replace norton.

thanks for the paper. please note that the study is based on the Australian market.

this is effectively what the amaranth energy trader did. he used to work for deutsche bank and blew out there. then he was hired by amaranth. amaranth admitted that it knew this when it hired him. and guess what? deutsche bank is a big investor in amaranth. just goes to show it's all...

hey all i was just watching bloomberg tv. the reporter was interviewing a professor from boston university and asked him what is the risk to the buyer of amaranth's energy portfolio. the professor replied: "well, i like to look at risk simply. nat gas can go to 0, so that's about $5. but...

are you saying these are abrupt changes that happened in 2005 but not previous years?

to anyone interested: in your view what is a tendency that existed in NQ that abruptly changed starting in 2005? can you think of any without first knowing what my strategy is doing?

i think you will find that it can be much easier to trade if you still have a job. when you trade with scared money, it makes everything a lot harder.