Are we on the edge of a global housing meltdown or we over the edge already and just waiting for the thud when we hit rock bottom?
One telling factor is the TV reality shows like "Flip This House" are showing a trend of homes no longer moving or moving very slowly on the market.
The last 5...
Translating the GS statement from Wall Street BS to Plain English you get:
GS has no write offs as we stopped mark-to-model valuation after the black box model blew up i.e. it wasn't able to calculate a value on the CDOs and SIVs.
Interesting of the $41B today over $23B was Mortgage backed.... this tells me the commercial credit market is on life support. Only one buyer left in town crazy enough to take MCDOs as collateral...the FED.
I bet someone is burning the midnight oil tonight...the repos are 24hrs.....CITI will...
Come on guys $41B when supposedly commercial credit lines are improving.
Wall Street bankers are in full panic mode nothing like holding MCDOs that are being downgraded from sovergein (can you believe they rated CDOs as high as sovereign debt) +AAA rating to below junk.
Hell I'd being...
Don't speak too soon. Heating oil up 0.85 tonights trading 244.10 wholesale. +0.35% Gold just leapt to 791.30
http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/commodities/cfutures.html
But as they say energy and food don't count towards CPI so FED can cut rate 25bp this week no worries! Hell cut rate...
The street/market has a bad smell to it.....look under the covers for dead and decaying carcases.
Market up on UBS/Citi bad news that subprime problems are over. What a load of BS....more subprime and prime to be disclosed. Fed drops overnight rate and now 10/30y mortgage rates are actually...
Thought I better dust this one off. Question is this October going to see the global credit bubble burst for good?
Interesting article on historic boom/bust cycles.
The rise in borrowing, and its persistence, is without historical precedent...
I'm no economist but aren't there two types of inflation and the outcome is the same.
1: Wage inflation = More money = higher demand = inflation
2: Price inflation = higher prices = cheaper to buy today than tomorrow = higher demand = inflation
It looks we have a problem with price...
There are no safe Banks. Split your deposits over multiple banks to 100k or less to keep FDIC coverage.
Remember Barings Bank? Nobody stepped in saved them.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barings_Bank
Maybe a run on the banks to reduce deposists to 100k next week.....just like Northern Rock.
I have a theory that days ending with odd numbers are up days and those with even numbers are down days
Another theory is a big down day is followed by a big up day followed by...
Seriously though major cracks are appearing in market support and future earnings. S&P 500 average PE is...
Having collected over $400 the last few years anything is possible....wouldn't be surprised to hear that he is a regular botox user...his face skin is tight for an "oldie."