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  1. M

    Japan Spirals into Bankruptcy?

    Old/New Keynesian thinking, inflation targeting, anything targeting that has flowed out of the halls of academia and brain dead policy makers for the last 3 decades. I don't buy the incremental steps idea because correct/sound thinking was available through the Austrian school a long time ago...
  2. M

    Japan Spirals into Bankruptcy?

    I dunno. "it's not all been perfectly understood" reminds me of "there's more work to do", a standard by which the goalposts are forever shifting wider. Can you imagine showing up in 5th grade to Mrs Smith back in the 70s and 80s without having done squat on your homework and saying "But Maam...
  3. M

    Japan Spirals into Bankruptcy?

    Martinghoul/M22au Interesting bbg article, looks like the quasi religious views of the macro establishment are taking some well deserved heat. There's one sentence I would take exception to: "But in reality, economies that experience very low rates for many years -- first Japan, and now the...
  4. M

    System Metrics Evaluation

    makes sense CME_trader, I can see how that approach would help them 'fly under the radar' so to speak. It reminds me of a comment someone made on an old ET thread where they talked about deliberately trading/going for the system with a profit factor of 1.4 because it traded a LOT and would not...
  5. M

    System Metrics Evaluation

    I would agree with that to an extent. There's no point talking profit when the risk of ruin is high. So all in, I would take it that there's no such thing as a profit factor significantly higher than 2 on a system with a very large sample of trades (high hundreds to 1000s)... If I recall in a...
  6. M

    Why do only Black People protest when cops shoot one of them?

    http://www.dailywire.com/news/7264/5-statistics-you-need-know-about-cops-killing-aaron-bandler
  7. M

    System Metrics Evaluation

    Hi Sergio, Agreed. I should add that my question would assume that the purported trading system would have avoided the naive pitfall of optimization, i.e., would be based on robust parameters which are all chosen for good reason and not because they are the result of an optimization. So, have...
  8. M

    System Metrics Evaluation

    Hi CP, Yeah it's not so much about sharing trades, but rather whether ET members have seen trading systems with a profit factor over 2 over a large trade sample ( 300+ to thousands), in addition to the other metrics being desirable as well, such a good distribution of wins, win rate, sharpe etc.
  9. M

    System Metrics Evaluation

    Agreed LL. Have you seen real discretionary trading with the above profile and a profit factor north of 2?
  10. M

    System Metrics Evaluation

    Hi All, What would an impressive but yet realistic trading system have in terms of Win Rate, Profit Factor, Trade Frequency, Distribution of Wins/Losses? It seems like reliable systems with Profit Factors greater than 2, a fairly even trade distribution (unlike TF systems where bulk of profits...
  11. M

    Cohen: Hedge Fund Crowding Contributed to Losses Earlier This Year

    I think the truth is likely a bit more nuanced... Cohen probably does have great trading skills, but not enough to sustain the whole firm and its army of PMs who now can't get "edge" anymore (wink wink).
  12. M

    Chronicles of the NQ

    Hi Instynct, Great to see you back and congrats on a good week. On that last trade, what made you take profits at your exit?
  13. M

    Life span of a Desktop PC

    Ha. Well, my tolerance for fan noise is very low. An absolutely silent PC sounds so good to me.
  14. M

    Life span of a Desktop PC

    This is an interesting point, wouldn't it be just awesome to no longer have to rely on fans anymore? Or at least fewer of them in the case to cause annoying noise issues? Problem is 2 TB SSD drive is 650-800 bucks right now, so probably years away in availability
  15. M

    Life span of a Desktop PC

    What's the life span these days of a desktop PC these days? 5 to 7 years? How often does everyone replace their PCs?
  16. M

    Radeon HD 6850 fan revving up and down

    Thank you much i960
  17. M

    Radeon HD 6850 fan revving up and down

    Thanks everyone. Has anyone ever cleaned out one of these Radeon 6850s before? Are they relatively easier to clean?
  18. M

    Radeon HD 6850 fan revving up and down

    Hi, I've got a Radeon HD 6850 1GB DDR5 in my desktop running 4 Dell 19 inch screens. About 4 years in, I suspect the fan on the card has started to rev up and down, noticeably revving up when I'm watching videos or even when scrolling through news sites. Would updating the driver possibly...
  19. M

    Edge Test

    Thanks Carrer. Question for you and others: when you have edged tested your systems ala Acary, did you notice a certain stability to the win ratio for the random test? Did it usually come in somewhere around 30-40%? I just ran my random test over 100 iterations over a number of years and I...
  20. M

    Edge Test

    I misunderstood you originally to mean 'market close' by close. Sorry my bad. I meant a short only system and exit is based on candle close, entry on open, let's say.
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