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hmmm invest in escort futures?

my take is that all assets are in a bubble because of global liquidity, led by the states

they just need to put the uptick rule back in. stopping all short selling would be stupid. they need to regulate all these derivative products, not worry about the shorts.

wow, gonna have to be careful on any USD shorts early in the morning between now and the fed meeting.

buy muni's and get insurance from buffet

at some point liquidity will dry up. i don't think it will go from commodities back into equities. the economy will tank and the demand for a lot of commodities will still be strong for a number of reasons.

i think we'll see profit taking before the fed cuts rates. then after the fed cuts big commodities take a big run north before another correction comes. imo oil will be closer to 80 than 120 by year end unless there are major supply shocks. metals and grains could see much higher...

USD should be printed on toilet paper then it will have some value

i don't think this will really help. there will be more downgrades and defaults in the financial space and commodities will cause inflation to soar. at some point banks will fail along the way. they need to start preparing and not trying to bail out. it will just make things worse in the...

both of those guys forgot more about investing than most ppl on here. gross was almost spot on about how this bust would play out. zell made a killing on eop, getting out at the top

are there any articles that attempt to calculate what inflation would be based on how it used to calculated?

they're due for a pullback after the big run. i'm looking down the road. negative real rates are bullish for commodities

last summer i liked a combination of long TD and short cibc. td focuses more on retail opperations while cibc typically takes on more risky activities. imo a long short strategy might still be the best if you want to play canadian banks. the write downs are far from over.

if u can backtest without needing to tweak during testing, you're usually well on your way to a good system. now backtesting emotions, thats the next tough part

i think we're going to see a drop before the fed cuts rates. depending on the rate cut, with the election coming up there should be a rally, how big and how long of a bear rally will depend on what happens. downside risk is huge. my scenario eventually will be out of control inflation...

lol, if this happens i wonder how far agriculture and metal commodities run up? inflation will spike, growth will slow to a crawl or even negative. then what? inflation expectations go through the roof and the fed is stuck. raise rates big to combat inflation expectations and completely...

i went bearish on apple in the 150s during mid jan. holding a growth stock that may have to slash prices to move product with a recession on a horizon is not good. the question is what will their stock price be in 3 years. i would assume ipods will be in the mature part of its product...

with currencies BB can help with other indicators (which includes multiple timeframes). 2.5 standard deviations seems to work a bit better i find for calling tops and bottoms along with stochastics and rsi for confirmation.

whats next for massive liquidity pumping up asset prices? given demand from growing economies i think we're just starting to see a bubble forming in commodities. maybe we'll have a drop from current highs over the spring and then a quick jump during the summer forming a peak in commodities...

sideways is way too optimistist given that the bull market was fueled by money supply growth. the banking sector isn't out of the water yet. could take another 6 months to a year before we see visibility on how this will play out