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  1. R

    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Saying what we think gives us a wider conversational range than saying what we know. __- Cullen Hightower --- J Ski, what is the "Obvious" and "Why the Obvious is not so obvious?" Maybe if hundreds of people started to participate in this thread I could see the "pattern" and was able to...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Still plenty of time to go, though. You were right. :)
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    snake, it says till 2020 - it's even more encouraging "... open the way ... by clearing away attitudes of ignorance so a greater truth and intelligence can begin to shine in our lives..." I love that! :)
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    taoistmon, I hear you mentioned the Monkey? Here I am. SAGITTARIAN MONKEY This Monkey is lucky and carefree. He likes to think and act big. He will try and try again in order to succeed at what he wants to achieve. MONKEYS MAKE EXCELLENT: Bankers Accountants Sales...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Limited Capital. How do I know how much I can afford to lose? Given I have 100,000 to trade with, if I lose 100 dollars on one trade and make one hundred dollars on another, I'm at break-even and even slightly negative because of the slippage and the commissions. Not every trade is a winner...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Змей, родимый, ты чего такой злобный? Помог бы, че&#1084...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Thank you, The Oracle. I feel more in sync with this thread now. Here's how I see your style: --- I never teach my pupils. I only attempt to provide the conditions in which they can learn. __- Albert Einstein --- You have to lead people gently toward what they already know is...
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    Even if I were blind Should still be able to find And see The Truth 'cause if it's out there to be it's already in me --- Otherwise I belong to the group described below: A great many people think they are thinking when they are really rearranging their prejudices. __- William James
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    TO, You didn't save the post with the code underlying the text by accident, did you? The raw market data such as price quotes, ticks, bars may appear just like that code even to a trained eye. But, like a computer, if you know how to interpret the data than a certain context will...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    MAESTRO, In "The Illusion of Certainty: Risk, Probability, and Chance" video Josh Tenenbaum talks about 00101 sequence. Out of the 16 combinations presented, two of them are particularly interesting where 001 ends with 00 and the second one is 00101 and has the highest count. Is it...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    MAESTRO, I believe you and happy that you continue. Too late, probably, but here are the bits I didn't include in my previous posts. When most of the day's range is covered or after a very big gap, it feels like, most of the time, that it's done with the move and can reverse at any moment...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    MAESTRO, In this example a piece of statistics was used to arrive at current probabilities. Looking at the point where the security is within 10% of it's high we need another set of statistics to calculate the most probable outcome. But you say the solution here doesn't require new data...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    MAESTRO, Forgive me for jumping in. When we isolate a company doesn't it mean that the chances will be 50/50 on any given day? It seems that we also need to know what % of them on average hit the target. A number of days as a sample size would also help. Although I wouldn't know what...
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    Old but funny. Somewhat related to this topic and machines that were mentioned in this and HFT thread. http://youtu.be/UtAwqyfCmDw
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    Do you see patterns in Random Walks?

    MAESTRO, The trouble with weather forecasting is that it's right too often for us to ignore it and wrong too often for us to rely on it. - Patrick Young :)
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    In the spirit of this thread current discussions. Conter-Trend Setup: http://youtu.be/lUYy3deDm1Q
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    --- Thank you for your support! I used to think that the brain was the most wonderful organ in my body. Then I realized who was telling me this. __- Emo Phillips
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    SnakeEYE, Thank you, brother! (Because you really are my brother.) But I will not insult these people or abandon them. I really see some value in what they are talking about. Secondly, the more shit I take here on ET the less of it I allow the market to feed to me. Poka, poka
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    Why Is The Obvious Not So Obvious?

    The Oracle, I really appreciate your efforts. My personal problem here is that I need a clear definition first and then a thorough explanation of what it is and why it is what it is. --- If I happen to figure out something on my own I will look for confirmation countless times and often...
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