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  1. rtw

    paper for people who still want to believe in fairy tales, free & fair markets & other fantasies.

    mr. Klaiman, i fully agree with your proposition. if my friends or family ever manage to convince me to try and teach them how to trade profitably i would actually order them to focus solely on price action and nothing else. i also would show them that knowledge, information and reality are...
  2. rtw

    paper for people who still want to believe in fairy tales, free & fair markets & other fantasies.

    mr. padu, i think you haven't read the paper i shared. in short, what it proves is that private, for profit business like exchanges, banks and publicly listed companies have been recurrently bailed out by public, supposedly democratic institutions that have never been tasked with supporting...
  3. rtw

    paper for people who still want to believe in fairy tales, free & fair markets & other fantasies.

    completely agreed. buffett is awful and one of the representative figures of everything that is wrong with the unsustainable ways of modern, consumerist, industrialized, debt ridden societies. anyone who does their research will be able to fully confirm this, i won't be giving all my knowledge...
  4. rtw

    paper for people who still want to believe in fairy tales, free & fair markets & other fantasies.

    this is a very brief paper i want to share, from december 1987, authored by hyman minsky. it deals with the events that took place the day after the largest single day percentage plunge in the history of the dow jones index; october 20th 1987. - October 19 and 20 1987 The Crash and the Freeze...
  5. rtw

    how do i hire a backtester?

    1a2b3cppp, you questions about backtesting are very basic and too general. first of all, you can only backtest trading strategies that can be translated into strict logical rules and programmed into computer code. the only commercially available platforms i know of to program and test...
  6. rtw

    Directional trades prior to earnings

    there is a very important clarification to make. any options held through an earnings announcement undergo changes in value so drastic that it is more appropriate to consider them as a second separate trade. when an earnings report is made public, options lose all their value and are only worth...
  7. rtw

    ¿wth? nflx moved 4 to 14 points in favor of my positions, still barely broke even.

    well, it turns out mr. beerntrading is right. i went and took a look at the historical data i could find for more or less comparable strike prices for nflx calls expiring on 20180713 versus 20180720. for the calls expiring on 13-VII, the 420 strike price increased in value by roughly 400%...
  8. rtw

    ¿wth? nflx moved 4 to 14 points in favor of my positions, still barely broke even.

    today i was quite pissed off at how a couple of options i bought on nflx were "performing". i don't know if any of the options theoreticians here can venture any explanations for how some positions that i opened on friday where the underlying moved 4 to 14 points in my favor still showed losses...
  9. rtw

    ¿how good would faang stocks be to be buy options on? ¿are there better alternatives?

    i have continued to work on this matter of the most profitable options to speculate on and i have arrived at some very relevant conclusions i want to share with everyone who is interested in a similar trading methodology. - the most lucrative stocks to day trade are definitely not the same...
  10. rtw

    after a number of trades from the same strategy, why my winners win? why my losers lose?

    well, unlike the majority of members who have replied to this thread, i would never use ordinary statistical analysis to evaluate a trading strategy. prices for financial instruments are really time series not variables subject to any statistical distribution; they have one and only one value...
  11. rtw

    i have one question for the options theoreticians here at et about the value of options.

    well, actually, i think that selling inflated premium on the most volatile stocks before earning announcements would be a strategy that would generate too much risk and would not work. in contrast, i think that the most attractive proposition would be to have a list of the stocks that typically...
  12. rtw

    i have one question for the options theoreticians here at et about the value of options.

    well, i will have to place some exploratory swing trades on options outside the feeding frenzy of earnings season to evaluate whether options don't lose that much value and it is an actionable strategy still. i tried to evaluate a number of strategies with experimental trades on simulator on...
  13. rtw

    i have one question for the options theoreticians here at et about the value of options.

    mr. Morse, that's a very nice looking platform, ¿what is its name and how could i get it?
  14. rtw

    i have one question for the options theoreticians here at et about the value of options.

    good day to everyone. i have been placing my first trades on options over the last three weeks trying to speculate on the current earnings season. i have run into one recurrent situation that i wasn't expecting and i want to understand if there is any rule about the pricing of options that i had...
  15. rtw

    How to overcome the inability to accept small losses when wrong on trades?

    another member asked for advice about how not to get stopped all the time when trading futures contracts some days ago. my advice to them is the same as to you; i would recommend that you just forget about trading futures contracts. the level of leverage is insane and these markets imply far...
  16. rtw

    Best Tips To Avoid Being Stopped Out In Futures?

    i would recommend that you just forget about trading futures contracts. the level of leverage is insane and these markets imply far too much risk than what an ordinary retail trader can handle. as you and several others have mentioned, trading successfully without stops is completely...
  17. rtw

    ¿how good would faang stocks be to be buy options on? ¿are there better alternatives?

    well, i have continued to do some investigation into the importance of rabid, deranged speculation around any particular instrument and how it affects the price of its options and have arrived at some interesting conclusions i want to share here. the following are some ratios i calculated on...
  18. rtw

    ¿how good would faang stocks be to be buy options on? ¿are there better alternatives?

    well, deep itm options still seem attractive to me. leverage is something i need to stay away from until i'm sufficiently profitable and otm options are in fact pricier in terms of extrinsic value and probability of the instrument losing 100% of what one paid for it. what i have learned about...
  19. rtw

    Millions made, much of the world seen, what now?

    sustainability is similar to what Will Allen and growing power do. it is also possible and easy to get a zero energy house like Josh Byrne and his Josh's house project show. heck, it is possible to go way beyond that and make one's house a net energy producer, not a consumer. on a related note...
  20. rtw

    Millions made, much of the world seen, what now?

    well, i saw the title for this thread on the digest et sends for the most popular posts of the week. it has turned out not like what i would have imagined. anyway, for anyone who has made so much money that they wouldn't know what to do with it, i would strongly recommend two strategies: -...
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