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    Pairs Trading Strategy Model

    http://www.quotecat.com/ticker_screenXL.htm
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    Does someone has hourly datas of Dow before 1929 :)

    I have daily datas but only closing datas not high, low if you have them could you send them to me I will publish the results and we could compare your analysis with mine ? I can do with closing datas but it's much better to have high and low since my model is used to predict tops and bottoms.
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    Watch out potential crash alert

    Sorry if I have made something wrong ? My post I supposed will be erased then :)
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    Turning point forecasted by our model

    By experience some traders knows that the break of the first trading range of the market is very important for the market direction. Well this is confirmed by my model and you can get the "fundamental" value. Everyday you will often (not always) see a BRK on first projection on hourly chart...
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    Does someone has hourly datas of Dow before 1929 :)

    I would like to see how my model behaved during these old days :)
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    Watch out potential crash alert

    This morning we failed to make the break at 8644 http://perso.wanadoo.fr/harrytrader/market/dji/today/cours_Plan_SPOT1h.swf
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    Watch out potential crash alert

    "Watch out potential crash alert" From: harrytrader2000 Date: Tue Dec 17, 2002 9:18 am Subject: Watch out potential crash alert An american site have been publishing each year crash alert signal http://www.wwfn.com/crashupdate.html They sometimes gave false signal that's why we have...
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    "Pairs" trading ... literally

    As explained above, I intend to implement it for people in my group. Since everything must be done online, I will study software solution. Perharps you could do the same thing.
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    "Pairs" trading ... literally

    I have been thinking of it as to educate people to my methodology as It is used sucessfully in another domain which is Pair Programming in software engineering. It's a new habit so it will be difficult to accept but as usual things must be planned and adapted from another domain.
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    human elements and colorful pills.

    I didn't say the contrary :). To understand what I mean this is an article I found: http://www.lambertganneducators.com/articles/ArticleA.php "Tom Hopkins, a world-famous sales trainer, believes that there are four stages in the development of a sales person (which originated from the work...
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    trading frustration

    I have just answered this in another thread with a totally different subject but I think it has to do also with this tread so I permit myself to just copy and paste an extract: "By time rationality will conduct to increase mechanical and individual traders will have more and more difficult...
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    human elements and colorful pills.

    It's like every pundit: you have several levels of interpretation. One of the underlying reason is antropomorphic. Human like to sublimate their act like ancient astronomers like to place the earth at the Universe center. By saying so, they place human being in the center place. Now objectively...
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    imagination and anxiety

    So what ? It will depend on your attitude. As for myself I have this vision and I am very pleased to take their money off the table :). If not so I don't think I would agree to speculate. Although at the beginning I didn't think that, now I do think it because of facts and also and above all my...
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    Kept It Simple - Is This Something??

    The statistic you give has a good biais impression but I can't really say nothing else since the detailed trades are not known. For example on 10-Dec you made 11 trades for 6 winners: 10-Dec 6 11 $297.20 If some of the trades are correlated (for example if you take some positions...
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    Say No To Thin E-mini Spread

    I agree with you.
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    Question to trader who really trade?

    I totally agree and in fact study I read shows that undercapitalisation is the first reason of failure. And implicitly the novice trader is not conscious of that, but this will translate into fear and lack of discipline. So I think that for some traders the psychological reason has a more...
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    Kept It Simple - Is This Something??

    He gave statistics of its trades but as I said they are not detailed enough. You can conduct some inference if you have all the recorded datas even if you don't know the underlying mecanism. That's what statistical inference cope with fundamentally.
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    Kept It Simple - Is This Something??

    you're so crual :)
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    Kept It Simple - Is This Something??

    I will give a rational explanation, which is in fact based on my model. My model takes activity into account. Activity is related to time and volume. Each activity consume time or volume so that price will move. So if two many people wants the same level of price well there won't be enough...
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    Kept It Simple - Is This Something??

    If you don't want to give details, then it's impossible to look at an answer on the design level. So we can just look at the statistical level. But the datas you give are not detailed enough: it would be better to give al the results trade by trade and in the time sequence they were executed...
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