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  1. J

    When SPY Sells off 5% in Two Days

    Jag vet ;)
  2. J

    When SPY Sells off 5% in Two Days

    WOW they even shut down your post before you could tell us the reason. Hope your still alive :eek: As for the original question the options strategy is the easy part (OTM puts and calls to be aggressive of for less risk look at spreads) the difficulty is getting the direction right. No reason...
  3. J

    The most expensive bad habits

    Seems like you want to be right rather than make money. Go with the flow. Nothing wrong with trying to catch bottoms as long as you do it with small amounts and dont try to stand against the tide. You also need to be prepared to be wrong multiple times and yet still keep trying. Eventually you...
  4. J

    Huge Traders, what was the process like from risking little to huge?

    Well yes but it sure feels different having a 20% swing on a 500,000 USD account as opposed to a 50,000 USD account or even a mini 5,000 USD account. The small accounts can easily be refilled from the day job or elsewhere if you screw it up. Not so easy with a 500,000 USD account. Don't really...
  5. J

    Is this trading strategy illegal or against some brokers policy?

    It just a straddle with high leverage so you need little movement to be profitable. I have done it a few time e.g. weekend election or EU meeting. Difficulty is often that the high leverage instruments stop trading a few minutes before the market so normal small volatility can take you out...
  6. J

    Day trading the stock market with a full time job? ...or Swing trade? Please help!

    I swing / position trade with a full time job and would say its realistically possible to aim for 20 to 80% on large sums this way. Less stress and less time than day trading. But 3k just isnt a worthwhile amount to spend the time on other than just for learning. Once you get experience and a...
  7. J

    How to reverse your bias in market direction?

    Yeah sure but it depends on your timeframe. Im not daytrading. There is scatter in the data but the overall trend in charts like this seems to be improving so Im not going to take any major short swing trading positions ->...
  8. J

    How to reverse your bias in market direction?

    Depends what your bias is based on ? Anything factual or just a gut feeling ? No matter all the complaints and prophets of doom the US economy is improving and finally so is europe. GDP and employment improving so my bias if your talking about stock markets rather than gold or pigs or rabbits...
  9. J

    What kind of Edge you have?

    You can already pay Anton 2000 USD for his 20 lecture DVD and a certificate from "The institute of traders" One for your Christmas wish list :eek:
  10. J

    Analysis Tools That Vic Niederhoffer Used ?

    If you have Excel you can import the data from google finance (just end of day data) and write the VBA scripts in there. From the examples given though it sounds like data mining which isn't going to work going forward.
  11. J

    What is the most common investors mistake?

    Well its certainly a better time to buy now that it is cheaper than in the recent past but what is your plan if it continues to get even cheaper, and even if you have a plan are you sure you can follow it ?
  12. J

    2015 - Journey continues

    5,150,000 SEK Quite a bit of stress from both work and trading volatility over the past few months. Could ideally do with a long break from both of them. Perhaps slowly coming to the conclusion that I don’t need to try and hit it out of the park anymore and the big gains have been had in this...
  13. J

    Jack Bogel Says Trading is "pointless"

    For those few who win its certainly not pointless but on average he is probably right. He has made lots of money from indexing but its probably more useful for the average folks than how most finance people spend their days.
  14. J

    Are Trading Books Useless ?

    If your looking for a step by step guide for how to get rich then they will be useless but if you spend time firstly selecting "good" book and whilst reading it frequently stopping to think about how it can apply and is relevant to your own trading then you can learn a great deal.
  15. J

    35 year horizon - what would you hold?

    Greece :-) May have recovered by then. Otherwise I'd go for Euro index. Cheaper than US and couple of years behind in the cycle.
  16. J

    None US market data

    Hi - I trade mostly Euro Indexs OMX, DAX and EuroStoxx50 For the S&P its very easy to find data such as return, maximum drawdown, frequency of drawdown of x%, etc. I have made a some simple systems based on the assumption that the S&P is a general indication of the markets I trade given the...
  17. J

    2015 - Journey continues

    5,230,000 SEK Been a while since last post. Been busy switching jobs at work. Decided to escape the corporate bullshit in the strategy department and switch back to science/engineering. Then went on vacation. Lots of volatility in account since last post trading due to the never ending greek...
  18. J

    Will Rising Interest Rates Murder The Stock Market?

    Eventually yes they will but it wont be the first, second or third one.... its always the last one which could be some years away. As long as rate increases reflect an improving economy i expect it to be a resonable environment for stocks. Expect EU to do better than US from current valuations.
  19. J

    When is the right time to quit your job and trade full time?

    VIX - You may want to check your own maths for the 1st case with 3% retained. You end up with 40,000 USD (70,000 - 3% of 1 M USD = 40,000) which I guess is near the average US wage. You also seem to be missing a few important points: - Your returns are reasonable on the total underlying amount...
  20. J

    When is the right time to quit your job and trade full time?

    Jinxu - There really isnt enough information in your original post for people to even begin to guess the probabilities of success FOR YOU. For example. How much capital have you got ? What return before taxes do you need ? How good are you, track record etc ? Whats the summary of your method etc...
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