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I'd probably give the edge to Romney over Obama right now, and Hillary is miles ahead of Biden.

I actually think a Romney-Clinton presidency would be interesting. But then, I'm not a right winger.

Friend of mine made pretty good argument that a tie would end up not as Romney-Biden. His expectation is that it would end up Romney-Clinton. In a nutshell, why would the senate pick Biden when they could pick anyone? They could even choose Obama for that matter. But there are two months...

Wow! Is that a trick glass? I see the bourbon go in, but the level never rises! :D BTW, no Mormons don't believe that alcohol should be illegal. The religion preaches accountability for one's own actions first and foremost. For example, they aggressively preach to their congregations to...

Not you individually. Trump knows how to get publicity. A huge portion of his estimated net worth is dependent on it. He isn't even a billionaire if you remove the value of the TRUMP brand. If I have to follow a billionaire's political musing, I'd at least choose one that has something...

Doesn't matter when the FED term is up officially. Markets are forward looking, and have priced in Ben's comments that his plan to keep rates lower and stimulate the economy continues through 2015. Not only will he lose his job in 2014 he won't be able to continue his plan anyway. With a...

Yes, I'm tired of the Pro-Romney guys like Lou Dobbs and Stuart Varney claiming that as soon as Romney wins the market will take off higher. That just isn't likely for two reasons. 1) Romney has said he would fire Bernanke, which means no more endless stimulus. 2) Labelling China a...

I noticed that too Jem. Romney had just spent about 2 1/2 minutes on a rebuttal, and then the moderator asked a question on the exact same topic, handing the mic right back to him. I was thinking to myself. He just answered that question thoroughly. Romney didn't miss a step, but instead...

There's nothing to it on either side. Not sure why anyone pays any attention to intrade. Would any trader trust that any index is efficiently priced if he could cause an 8% rally with a tiny $14K buy order? The only thing worth noting is that the longer term trend there has the race...

Quote from Trump: "Mission accomplished!"

Ummm... Obama and his policies really have nothing to do with the market. They certainly have nothing to do with the fact that the market has gone lower the past few days. The drivers for the market right now are very obvious, and have nothing to do with politics. If you really think...

I don't think that foreign policy doesn't matter, but I think that economics has a huge effect on foreign policy. Ask yourself which is easier. Build your military to the point that you scare your enemies into never attacking you? Or, open up trade agreements and make their economy...

Yep, they believe he is ahead with momentum. It wasn't rope-a-dope. Rope-a-dope can only be done in the earlier rounds, which I think that Romney did quite effectively during the past several months, but not by choice. Romney simply didn't have access to the RNC cash until after the...

Hardly a "bombshell" and wouldn't affect the outcome of the race at all, unless the reason cited was something like infidelity or abuse.

In all your wisdom futurecurrents, you do realize that crime rates are based on established laws and convictions, right? I'll go out on a limb here and suggest that you might not be comparing apples to apples. here are a few questions for you. 1) Assume the law allows you to beat your wife...

The worst thing they are ever gonna find on Mitt is something like; 1) He once got overly angry at female employee and told her to quit being "so darn stupid". Therefore, Mitt thinks women are intellectually inferior. [Nov 8 edit] Mitt consistently hires more women to upper management...

I said the same thing here; http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3654480&highlight=pa#post3654480 After looking closer at the county results, it actually isn't Philly and Pitt. It is really just Philly. Philly county went for Obama with 83% in '08. Just next door in...

The point is that if Romney wins in MI that would indicate a very large national shift, so this isn't even a race anymore. There is no reason for Obama to focus any more resource there than he does for say Oregon. He has enough of a stronghold in WI and MI that he will win them by simply...

Romney won't get MI or WI. Just not gonna happen. If that is true, then he needs two or three of the states that Obama is dumping money into. That is just the reality here and Obama knows it. If Obama loses either MI or WI it is likely that he loses in a landslide because that would mean...

The other thing I'm trying to figure out is where they are getting those numbers from. We are talking about the Consulate in Libya, NOT THE EMBASSY. So embassy security doesn't really matter here. On the budget we are specifically talking about Diplomatic & Consular Programs (D&CP). But...