Search results

  1. U

    options . . . very hard to make money

    You are combining your options with other holdings which does not change the structure of the options market. You may not have a net loss on your combined holdings but if someone profited off an option you sold, you funded that profit by receiving less than your asset was worth. The options...
  2. U

    Trading Lessons/Insights From Coin Flipping

    If you are allowed to choose which number to show first, then this game is beatable. However, I think this is where the instructions are unclear. I think the intent of the game is to show one of the two numbers randomly which then gives the guesser the advantage even if the numbers are...
  3. U

    Trading Lessons/Insights From Coin Flipping

    IMO yes, based on the instructions as I understand them. I would like someone to explain if they are not in agreement with this. Joe.
  4. U

    Trading Lessons/Insights From Coin Flipping

    I think you are correct. There is no advantage to be gained by the guesser if your numbers are together. The advantage comes from two numbers that are separated so that using a random number generator, anytime the random number is between the two numbers, you will always select the higher...
  5. U

    Trading Lessons/Insights From Coin Flipping

    Yes. I believe there must be some miscommunication of the rules and/or how the game is to be operated. Joe.
  6. U

    Trading Lessons/Insights From Coin Flipping

    This goes back to the selection process I wrote in a previous post. I would choose two numbers that were either both higher or both lower than 50. Then if one of these numbers was selected at random, the chance of guessing correctly whether the other number was higher or lower than the first...
  7. U

    Trading Lessons/Insights From Coin Flipping

    Maybe I am misunderstanding the rules. Here is how I would proceed based on my understanding of the rules. If I can set-up a 50-50 situation, then I should profit due to the unbalanced payments. I would choose two numbers either higher or lower than 50. Then I would randomly select which...
  8. U

    options . . . very hard to make money

    The options market for non-market makers is "zero-sum" and becomes negative due to spread and commissions. How you may combine options with other holdings does not change the fact that for every dollar "won" in the options market there is a dollar "lost" by someone else. Joe.
  9. U

    options . . . very hard to make money

    Correct, except it is not nearly as bad as 20% like the horsetrack but the concept is the same. Whether you are "investing" on horseracing, sporting events or options, you need to find a way to overcome the "take" (spread) that makes random selections a long-term loser. The problem IMO is...
  10. U

    Switching from Stocks to Options

    Do you know poster: levniss? Joe. PS. I still have that same bridge for sale in Brooklyn ...
  11. U

    Just had a good experience using this option software

    I still have a bridge for sale in Brooklyn ... Joe. :)
  12. U

    Medical question

    That is confidential information. Joe.
  13. U

    Medical question

    I have a bridge for sale in Brooklyn ... Joe.
  14. U

    Why I Lie a Lot on ET

    Will everyone please stop lying! Joe.
  15. U

    What would you do & Why?

    +100 This is exactly what I thought when I read the OP's post. Unfortunately you won't really know how it will affect you until you try. You also need to be aware that you may consciously or even unconsciously change how you trade because you are handling OPM. Good luck with whatever you...
  16. U

    40 million on food stamps in the USA

    So do you qualify? Joe.
  17. U

    Mortgage rates hit low of 4.49 pct.

    Almost makes me want to get a mortgage. I still have CDs that are earning 5.25%! Unfortunately, as rates continue to go down, I won't be able to renew anywhere near that figure. Joe.
  18. U

    How Many Traders Wager on Sports?

    You might want to rethink the statement above. It sounds like the many posters on ET that write about trading as a loser's game, usually because they haven't figure out how to make it pay. Joe.
  19. U

    How Many Traders Wager on Sports?

    Matchbook.com Joe
  20. U

    How Many Traders Wager on Sports?

    I have and continue to wager on all sorts of "sports" including the stock market. Joe.
Back
Top