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lol , this going to go to the wire Sunderland major shock.

i was gonna ask where has the old ACD guard gone. Mav keep posting the quizzes i'll try completing but going to be very busy for the next two weeks so you probably wont see me posting.

i guess thts the next stage of the puzzle i need to work out with that being said Mav do you compare news flow alongside your numberlines ? or look at various different instruments and their number-lines and try develop a hypothesis (i was thinking of going down this route).

DT3 , its more to do with rate of change and time basically lost big chunk of value relatively quick (i don't know if thts the best way to put it but yh) on a overall basis. US dollar still doing ok relative to other pairs. Yep keep's you safe from difficult market conditions , i guess...

Im little confused at the moment difficult to read i guess , US dollar has lost some strenght and canadian dollar has picked up some strenght . if US dollar weakens further we could potentially see some strenght in S&P but dont quote me on tht , im pretty confused at the moment.

Thankyou for you backhanded compliment much appreciated.

lol i know Warren Buffett is not turtle trader rather value investor who based his work on Benjamin Graham book intelligent investor. what i was trying to imply is trends can randomly occur similar to coin toss . best I remove myself from this discussion :)

Justrading i appreciate point of view but i humbly disagree , in my opinion. lets for-example say i have fair coin and the odds are 50/50 but you operating within my casino as an analogy i pay $10 for every-time tail comes up ( im tails) and you get paid $5 dollars every-time head appears over...

[ i might aswell take a crack aswell 1) no1 can guess the future (maybe on very small small time scale lol) we can at best react accordingly 2)interest rates , forward curve lol , time , price and volitility 3)Oppertunity forgone same as redbaron 4) i think your refering to variance...

Im gonna take the counter argument (lol play devils advocate) and say what's not to say Warren Buffet had good dose luck. (George Soros is a better example based on the amount of trades but once again a outlier ) , not lot of people actually beat average market returns few do with that said...

Guys , you all should be pestering Mav with questions he's like Gandalf :D of trading ( even thought Mav has touch upon alot of stuff their's no harm in asking) , he been in the business for long time seen more business cycles than alot of people. i'll start off , Mav does the market follow...

koolaid i don't know what to say , not every market environment is suited for every type of trader ( some times you get dealt weak hands you just got to know what the right decision is) , i guess it depends on what type of trader you are and your time frame. keep tracking your number line with...

To be fair vol usually picks up when Mav posts. He's probably robbing the bank $$$ , very sharp and shrewd trader, to be fair nearly every topic has been pretty much been discussed in some depth by Mav and some other individuals , cant really blame him (gives alot gains very little guess theirs...

Damn its quiet here , (koolaid did you go long ) anyways i thought give you run down on my non-expert opinion in the currency arena. dollar is getting whopping , Aussie very strong so is the Canadian dollar ( commodity currencies strong wont be surprising if we see strength in gold and oil...

Mav using some Hegelian philosophy ? I have usually found instruments that have been in the public eye for long time and then have fallen off and forgotten about are usually best places to create a trade and to extract value that's what i have seen so far , i could be wrong ( unless I'm...

Thankyou mav. you may have to change your name to saint mav of wallstreet :rolleyes:. Your making the game look bad mav , its meant to be cut throat.

Mav its possible for you to go over the situation in brazil with regards to the economics , be interesting and educational for the thread and myslef and on that note is they any instruments that you trade to best take advantage of the situation and how you would go about creating assymetrical...

Thank you Mav some food for thought. ;)

Mav the kyle bass interview ;), interesting how he talks about discretionary aspect of assigning weighted probabilities to event driven events and the structuring them, some artistry their from kyle bass.

Max don't let it get too just take it with pinch of salt and as learning experience ( i remember in my poker days knowing when your "tilting" and knowing to walk away from the table was usually the optimal strategy to pursue ) ,Max just regroup and reassess and from what i have read from some...