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Your high probability entries are 50/50 the minute your order is filled. Buy at support? Didn't hold this time. Maybe buy at the next support line? Nope, didn't go. Third time a charm? Yup, a good trade and so on. Sell at 52 week highs? Sounds good, but for the past XX weeks the play was to...

Of course it is, there are no magic entry signals.

Who cares about A winning trade? Who cares about win %? I care about positive expectancy which is attainable with random entries.

You think the comments were of no value? It's the key to trading. My post was not meant be told ya so, it was just a clear demonstration of the concept.

Bringing up this old thread, not to bash this poster but to demonstrate the folly of everyone having an opinion. Your opinion will not make a dime's worth of difference in your success or failure trading. As the chart shows, it would have been a great time to buy ULTA. The key is position...

We've heard that before.

People posting real time trades is not the issue, the issue is that trading is not just blindly selling premium at historic low vol. That mentality is to trading what order takers are to salesmen. Think about, and really let that soak in a bit.

Many posters in this thread were also critical in the other tasty threads. Since Bobby decided to "prove" that it worked and it hasn't then that is on him. No one, at least I am not, is against Bobby but against the trading method he is applying.

:banghead:

:banghead:

This is why the low returns/expectancy 100 trades, 80 are winners, some for 50% of credit others for less at the halfway to expiration date. So, $1.00 credit (doesn't matter what $$) 70 winners @ $.50 and 10 winners for say $.25. 20 are losers, let's say 15 for $2.00 and 5 for $.25. Leaves a...

1.85%......times ten.

I wonder how the short vol/short delta strategies are holding up.

I have not been able to monetize this via options. Too slow and stupid I guess. How I trade these is, wait for low of ex-div date to be broken by the equivalent of the dividend amount. Sell the underlying at that price and capture the move of at least the dividend amount. i.e. low on ex div=...

The math in posts 1094, 1096 and 1099 doesn't add up. Part of the Tastytrade math that I don't like.

You're up 1.5% in the last hour? Nice job!

I'm surprised this has not gotten mentioned. https://www.tastytrade.com/tt/shows/market-measures/episodes/recovering-from-losses-defined-undefined-risk-05-30-2017

XIV

10% below entry price as stop with 50% above being the target, yes long only. 2 month average holding period. I think I have it validated and will just have to trade it, I'd hate to think it worked but let xx years go by w/o profiting.

That's the plan, thanks