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  1. K

    crude...

    People, prices don't go up It's just USD crashing Oil exchange creation that prices oil in Euros is imminent within 1-2 years maybe even faster A Europe won't be needed USD to buy oil USD will be devalued 2-3 times within days US consumer will loose its purchase power and...
  2. K

    Will everyone be disappointed with just 25bp cut?

    regarding helth care and education do you know how many canadian doctors and teachers moved to US when exchange rate was 1.5? Do you think they will move now with exchange rate below parity? You defend rate cuts by your own personal uknown reasons for some time But it's clearly you 're...
  3. K

    Will everyone be disappointed with just 25bp cut?

    you forgot similarities We didn't have inflation in 2000 and we don't have inlation now You know how they count inflation? if something gets expensive they exchange it to something that is cheaper so no we substitute food and gas to something else We drive on chinese DVDs and eat chinese...
  4. K

    Threw in the towel

    congratultions! I'm from Canada and I converted my entire account into Canadian dollars a month ago And since that I immediately convert all my profits I hope all overseas traders will dump all their US$ holdings
  5. K

    the upcoming fed move .. Whatever happened to INFLATION?

    GDP growth in depreciating dollars? Maybe we should check their growth in Australian dollars or in euros? As Einstein said it all depends on your point of view From Australian point of view China in recession
  6. K

    Oil now over $90.00 and the fed is going to cut rates

    don't be so nervous - buy gold, CAD and AUD and don't care what Fed does
  7. K

    zq (fed funds) spreads

    it would be symbolic when Fed cuts 50 bp on October 31 and oil hits 100
  8. K

    How Dumb are T-Bond Investors?

    check Canada, they have inflation_higher_ than USA and Canadian Dollar appreciated 25% from this year lows!
  9. K

    Will Ben cut 25 or 50 bp on Halloween?

    futures show 90% chance of 25 bp cut So he will definetely cut another 25 bp and probably even 50 if stocks go down another 200 points On October 31 Oil will hit 100 Gold 800 Euro 1.5 Dow 14500 Inflation 1%
  10. K

    U.S. Sept. housing starts down 30.8% year-over-year

    that actually means odds for recession a ittle higher as GDP depends on construction a lot
  11. K

    PEAK OIL is PAST

    we still have a lot of coal that can easily substitute oil enviromental charges are huge but technology improves. wikipedia says gas from coal is profitable if oil price is higher than $35 so definitely no peak oil problem And if oil substitutes available for that price - soner or later il...
  12. K

    Core Inflation vs. headline inflation #

    The interesting thing that most Nobel prizes for economics went to US And still we deliver problems like subprime So as I understand no nobel prize winner were able to warn subprime might cause problems? Do they see any problem now with account deficit and dollar devaluation? Or surging...
  13. K

    oil up over 85-gold up 10 bucks today

    Makloda, you can stay in denial ALthogh what I say is not a conspiracy facts but facts Citi CEO called Bernanke the next day after August OMC meeting. We can't know what they talked about although we saw results
  14. K

    oil up over 85-gold up 10 bucks today

    Have you noticed a sell off last Thursday when ECB member said they would raise? Anyway do you know any other country where CEO of the largest bank can call to Fed chief and demand for rate cut because he lost money And get it?
  15. K

    PEAK OIL is PAST

    Why would ECB would follow? It's likely Euro zone will surpass US GDP size because of weak US$ this or next year Now ECB is more independent than Fed, their policy proved to be more productive than Fed and eventually Eurozone GDP is bigger than USA So the Fed will need to consult ECB and...
  16. K

    oil up over 85-gold up 10 bucks today

    I would say it's because of those newly invented SIVs Banks will put 1 trillion of those - Fed will buy them using freshly printed, nice smelled dollars And everybody will be happy, debt dissappeared, dollar devalued, China lost 10% of its reserves
  17. K

    oil up over 85-gold up 10 bucks today

    Gold is higher and dollar is weaker because Turkey threatening? Even in terms of oil - Turkey threatened last weak and we had a decent rally Oil can't rally everyday 2$ because Turkey threatens every day. This is a fundamental rally means how much your dollar worth
  18. K

    PEAK OIL is PAST

    current oil prices comes from loosy Fed monetary policy and weak dollar It's irreversable right now since dollar still overvalued so prices will increase in the near future Although as US population will loose its purchase power demand will become weaker which will help in stabilizing oil...
  19. K

    Doesn't anyone remember 2000?

    wrong here. Foreign markets grow much faster than US. No foreigners buying US I'm a foreigner and I converted all my trading money back into CAD What drives stock market now is Bernanke and his printing press Dollar will continue its slide as it's the only way to run US economy for now...
  20. K

    Whats all the excitement about ES up 10.25

    when stock up there is only why reason why this reason is dollar down even more
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