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  1. K

    Fed’s QE Unwind Reaches $535 Billion, Balance Sheet Drops to $3.94 Trillion, Old Autopilot Still Eng

    I agree that they'll be buying more bonds on a regular basis, but figuring that the top banks that fall under those requirements need X amount of bonds in total, X is going to increase at the rate that the banks increase their total assets which is slower than the rate (in terms of sum dollar...
  2. K

    Is Trading Itself a Bad Trade? I Analyzed the Industry- Prove Me Wrong

    You're definitely a financial advisor, having been one, I can tell you what your problem is. You're talking about products and fees and behavior of salespeople and behavior of clients/potential clients that know virtually nothing. There was nothing in your post about trading. To answer your...
  3. K

    Fed’s QE Unwind Reaches $535 Billion, Balance Sheet Drops to $3.94 Trillion, Old Autopilot Still Eng

    Re "self contradictory": I see what you mean about how it sounds that way, but the way I see it the leverage caps combined with required Treasury holdings would mean that the banks' capital, especially that to be allocated to treasuries, is fully invested/very close to being "topped up" at any...
  4. K

    How to choose stocks for shorting, based on their past performance?

    Well if you're going only off of past performance, you have two choices. Has it been rising or falling? Pro tip: there's more to look at than just this.
  5. K

    Fed’s QE Unwind Reaches $535 Billion, Balance Sheet Drops to $3.94 Trillion, Old Autopilot Still Eng

    So the problem is the Fed's balance sheet isn't shrinking fast enough, so what they're going to do is sell MBS in the open market to raise cash so that they can buy more Treasuries that are at shorter maturities than what they currently have, so that the shorter dated newly purchased Treasuries...
  6. K

    Shorting by writing deep-in-the-money calls

    Give it some time, usually 30-60 days before the options and borrow markets get more normal after an IPO. It'll still be garbage then, I promise.
  7. K

    The Expectations.......

    Troll
  8. K

    I have to call BS on this!

    I always laugh when people say stuff like this. Nobody is forcing your friend to live in one of the highest COL places on Earth, nobody is forcing him to put his kids in expensive private school, nobody is forcing him to have an expensive place to live....the central theme here is he chooses to...
  9. K

    Lyft options

    I've been trying to short this garbage, but no shares can be located yet.
  10. K

    Interesting study results on active management

    https://www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/guid/BBB444CA-5621-11E9-9224-C12E3641FE80
  11. K

    How to watch Treasury auctions?

    From my understanding it's a dutch auction process, with individuals' orders getting priority over institutions. Each participant bids at an interest rate and the Treasury sells bonds at the lowest possible rate that was bid until it chews through the order book and then goes up to the next rate...
  12. K

    Macro thread for pros.

    Just to clarify since there seemed to be some confusion, I was unfamiliar with the abbreviations and was asking what they meant. Not trying to derail the thread.
  13. K

    Macro thread for pros.

    Got my question answered, thanks.
  14. K

    Macro thread for pros.

    What is "231P", AAPL doesn't have a 231 strike? Also doesn't have a 187 strike.
  15. K

    Is it possible to choose which securities are used for margin collateral?

    Maybe a dumb question, but say I have $100 in account equity and I invest it all in T-bills. Then, using the $100 in T-bills for collateral I buy $100 in stock. Would the T-bills be used solely as margin collateral for the stock, or is the margin collateral requirement spread evenly across all...
  16. K

    This too shall pass. ( Inverted treasury curve)

    I'm thinking a sideways choppy/flat type of situation. However if the Fed is dovish and bond yields dive, assuming there isn't impending doom but rather a slowdown, I'd think asset prices continue rising, no? More of the same, nowhere else to go but stocks. What so you guys think, recession?
  17. K

    GBP.USD & EUR.USD - Proof of Profits Verified

    Do you use ATR times a coefficient to determine stop/profit Target levels?
  18. K

    GBP.USD & EUR.USD - Proof of Profits Verified

    Following this and rooting for you. GL man.
  19. K

    What do you guys use to backtest a strategy?

    Sounds like you would need a list of tickers first, maybe run a screen for stocks with < $200-300 million float and other results of the ideal end factors that you listed, so for $25 stock price search for $75 stock price etc., to account for the gains you describe then get historical data for...
  20. K

    Need Advice on A Position (Major Loser) Dollar-Cost Average?

    To expand on Robert Morse's original post a little bit, if you own a stock that you intended on buying for an investment (not a trade) and it drops substantially then either a) something has changed about the company and you should get out or b) you were wrong about something (could be entry...
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