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  1. J

    Is John McCain running a Bob Dole-like Campaign?

    Try reading a history book. Eisenhower got us involved in 1954 after the French got their butts kicked out. We lost under the great Republican leaders Nixon and Ford. The American people were smart enough to understand a stupid pointless war and rioted in the streets to force the idiot...
  2. J

    Is John McCain running a Bob Dole-like Campaign?

    EHave you heard about a small Asian country called Viet Nam? Your perspective and logic is straight out of 1966. It took us 20 years to figure out that nationalism trumps a foreign occupying power, even one that offers freedom, democracy and the American way. We could have saved a ton of...
  3. J

    Acrary is a genius!

    I wonder if things wandering so far off topic is a random or predictable phenomena?
  4. J

    Is John McCain running a Bob Dole-like Campaign?

    Tell that to Bear Stearns and several million people having their homes repossessed. Oil?---- I thought Chaney figured out our energy policy in 2001? Guess he was as good at that as Donald Rumsfled was about Iraq or "Brownie" was with Katrina. We won Iraq?...tell the to this months crop of dead...
  5. J

    Acrary is a genius!

    So Ashby proved if almost 50 years ago? Gosh, I wonder if anything has changed or been discovered since then? I mean the guys who invented computers in the 1940's expected that the United States would only ever need 10 or 12 of them since ther function was limited to automated math and...
  6. J

    Is John McCain running a Bob Dole-like Campaign?

    The nation is in a mess: the economy, oil prices, the war we lost in Iraq and the one we are starting to have probelms with in Afganastan. McCain is the status quo of Washington incarnate if not a slight morphing of Bush. Do you really think the country wants 4 more years like the last 8?
  7. J

    Profit model correlation

    OK, sorry. Then the fileds are: n-1 = yesterdays adjusted close n-2 = the day befoe that etc ? And out is tomorrows adjusted close?
  8. J

    Profit model correlation

    Dt, The reason a NN will have the horrible results you experience is that it couldn’t find any predictive information in the independent variables (IV) which in this case are open, high, low and close. Price change in itself looks random to the human brain; hence the large number of...
  9. J

    Profit model correlation

    Excellent contribution. If you'd zip up the input dataset and the RM realted files (aml, etc.) and post it, then any of us should be able to duplicate and expand on it. RE: models...you need to do a save model, then set up a new template to read the saved model and your Out of Sample data...
  10. J

    Profit model correlation

    Eric, Thanks fo the offer. We could have some large files. For bars in 5 min and such one could have 50,000 to 100,000 rows, with date, time, OHLC. Then you need to add the TIs. Lets say 20 of those to start. IF we have a mix of a daily and a short term on one market instrument from...
  11. J

    Profit model correlation

    Time is very limited today so sorry for the very short reply below 1) Neuromaster...thanks for the info. That makes sense. The folks who made Rapid Miner free (open Source) didn't do it to benefit humanity but to make money. Hence the general consulting service offering on their web site and...
  12. J

    Profit model correlation

    What you’ll ever see in print is about 2% of what going on. This is a domain where if you want it, you have to do it yourself or find somebody who has it to manage your money. The “how to” won't be published or sold as a package. So I would offer that data mining is not for most of the...
  13. J

    Profit model correlation

    ***** I like the way you think. Might be worthwhile to pursue, but you'd have to find someone to moderate the 'private' logistics. ***** I can take care of that as I already have a couple of AI financial newsgroups on Yahoo and other places. If I get a few more interested responses, I'll...
  14. J

    Profit model correlation

    You’re welcome. It is without a doubt the best open source data mining package out there.... probably equivalent to a $4 to $6K commercial package. Their business model is very creative: give the package away for free, then make your profit by selling consulting services when people...
  15. J

    Profit model correlation

    Here is a few: Data Mining: Methods and Modes by D. LaRose Data Mining Concepts and Techniques by J. Han Trading Systems That Work by T. Stridsman Also if you Google some basic keywords with the term "pdf" as shown below, you'll get only Acrobat docs which are detailed studies and...
  16. J

    Profit model correlation

    Yes, the learning curve is significant. Probably 90% of the traders on ET still trade totally manually in the sense that they look at a bunch of charts or indicators and make a decision or they automate a "manual" trading strategy using a rule based application. (if A < B OR X >.Y AND Chat...
  17. J

    Advice on autotrading

    I'd be curious if youdon't mind my asking on the difference you found between your sucess in automatic mode vs. screen watching. For example did the best Profit Factor in automatic mode turn out to be 1.5 while in screen watching mode it's 2 or 3 time better?
  18. J

    Cost of Programmer to automate

    Here are links to some advanced predictive applications; http://www.peltarion.com/products/products.html http://www.dataengine.de/english/sp/index.htm http://www.spss.com/clementine/ http://www.unisoftwareplus.com/products/mlf/ http://www.insightful.com/ http://www.angoss.com/...
  19. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    Could you suggest what you mean to look for in reading the book? I have it. So if I know what you comment is directed to it would help.
  20. J

    Why do I see "Trends" in Randomly Generated Data?

    That could explain it as well.
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