Search results

  1. Q

    RMB Forward, is it for real for fake?

    http://www.icbc.com.cn/e_other/quotation2.jsp 1Y 764.69 761.63 767.75 2007-12-05 Note: this rate is the initial quotation of ICBC, deal price is depending on the actual trading rate of local branches. rmb is traded at 7.83 now. does this forward mean people see the rate to be 7.64 in...
  2. Q

    z=(1-x)*(1+y*x)

    here are some more findings: for 12 months, i expect return each month using current size of my trades as 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.2 then i got 1.61 for the year, so i earn 61% for the year. if i double the size of my trades 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 1.2 1.2...
  3. Q

    z=(1-x)*(1+y*x)

    my caculation is for limited tries. (2 exactly in my example). it is used in if i can only place 2 trades. the first trade is a loss, and i know my past performance, how much should i bet in the second trade. if i have 4 weeks, i already lost in the first week, how much i want to risk for...
  4. Q

    Expected Return on Futures vs Stocks

    it is not fast enough.
  5. Q

    z=(1-x)*(1+y*x)

    that is right. thanks. so if you can get 1 wrong, out of 2 trades, then you should not trade. if you get 1 wrong, out of 3, you should risk 25% if you get 1 wrong, out of 4, you should risk 33%. don't you or anyone think it is too high comparing to traditional money/risk management...
  6. Q

    z=(1-x)*(1+y*x)

    z=(1-x)*(1+y*x) x is the max % you can risk per trade y is how many winning trades you get per loss. z is the value of the function. when y=3, z will see the max at 0.34. so it means, when we can can stop loss at 34% of total portfolio if for 1 loss, we can see 3 wins, assuming win and...
  7. Q

    Perl framework for back testing strategies

    thanks. i am a trader and perl guru. i will look into it myself. if i am too busy, i will hire a partime employee ($150 a month) for this job.
  8. Q

    Expected Return on Futures vs Stocks

    I am facing a difficult decision now. I need to know if I should continue trading futures. 1. my cost of capital is 10% I lend away my money at 10% to other business. I borrow from stock brokers at 10% 2. my stock performace is between 20% to 60% a year. over 3 years. 3. I start...
  9. Q

    What leverage do you get on CBOT?

    I use 6% on CORN in Dalian (I pay 6 for every 100 I buy/sell). Dalian Exchange only requires 5%, but my brokerage requires 1% more. Is CBOT giving more or less leverage? Is brokage requiring more deposit?
  10. Q

    Soyoil Near M > Far M, Corn Near M < Far M. WHY?

    Both Soyoil and Corn are in bull market, but the monthly contracts act differently. For example, in my market, Dec06 Soyoil is 100 points higher than May07 soyoil. Dec06 contracts are getting fewer and fewer. So I assume the Short are covering Dec06 so they push the month higher. In Corn...
  11. Q

    Safe Pair: Short Cu, Long Al

    i don't really care about technical. i know many friends who use Al and Cu in their business, so I know what price they are willing to pay. China is Cu's big buyer. Cu is used a lot in big buildings. I know chinese developers, they are not building more but less in 2007, so you know why I...
  12. Q

    Safe Pair: Short Cu, Long Al

    Bet Cu will come down and Al will be strong. Looks like a safe pair to use the extra cash, because Corn, Soyoil need me to add more positions.
  13. Q

    Bet SINA will be up after ER

    Sina upgraded by Citigroup and Piper Jaffray Briefing.com (Fri 6:50am) Price target is increased from $24 to $34. Looks like this one could reach $30 next week. Today is mainly profit taking from tomorrow.
  14. Q

    On Day Buying Power Margin Call, how many days do I have?

    REGULATION T CALLS can be covered by depositing cash or marginable stock, closing long or short equity positions, or transferring in funds or marginable stock from another TD AMERITRADE account. If closing a position, you must liquidate twice the amount of the Reg T call in marginable...
  15. Q

    On Day Buying Power Margin Call, how many days do I have?

    I used half million Day Buying Power to buy stocks, then network was down. I am now on Reg. T magin call, however the stock I bought gave me a lot of profit, and keeps going my way. I want to keep those stocks as long as possbile (1-3 days). How many days can I keep them before a forced...
  16. Q

    Bet SINA will be up after ER

    my bet is ok now. i bought at open, now i got 6% overnight. i will see how strong the open is after the earning. could be $30, could be $27. i got $1 profit to pretect this trade now.
  17. Q

    Best Stocks Under $10

    RWC's earning is out. Good, but not as good as expected by analysts. Time to stop loss here. Or if your position is not high, you can hold until next Q.
  18. Q

    Bet SINA will be up after ER

    Today is 2006/11/02 12:20 at noon time, take a look at 3 recent Chinese ERs. Sohu, bad ER, but only down slightly BIDU, big move before ER, holding strong, and looking to go up slightly. If SINA get so so numbers, the worst case will be like SOHU's move which is not too bad. In today's...
  19. Q

    Best Stocks Under $10

    on http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=73579&highlight=acy i listed 3 stocks TRT is up 100%, ACY is up 20%, ECGI is up 75%. Here is why ACY will have more rooms to run: http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/061101/sfw047.html?.v=83 For the quarter ended September 30, 2006...
  20. Q

    Best Stocks Under $10

    ACY, up 20% on great earnings. Look what I said 3 months ago. Just like what I pointed on TRT which is up 100% in 3 months. ACY just starts its run!!! http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=73579&highlight=acy HSOA, swing trade for 20% every week. TAYD, huge earning...
Back
Top