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  1. U

    Too many bears?

    Any bears still aggressively pressing into this are playing with fire IMO - you know what they say about hogs... Edit: Intermediate term, short term I have no idea, may end on the lows or ramp into the close.
  2. U

    Too many bears?

    Shorts will try to jam it back down, but I think the easy money on the short side (intermediate term) has been made...risk definitely increasing on the short side
  3. U

    Too many bears?

    Positive divergences all over the place...
  4. U

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Couldn't agree more Spec
  5. U

    where are all the dipadoos?

    Myself and several others have posted that we are starting to accumulate at these levels - just b/c people aren't making threads screaming about it doesn't mean they aren't doing it. In fact, I view the lack of threads screaming BUY! and the increase in mocking threads such as this as a nice...
  6. U

    Small correction or the start of a bear market?

    Commercials are massively net long while specs are massively net short...something to think about (hint: at the 2000 top it was just the opposite).
  7. U

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    I am as well. Panic on multiple levels - retail running for the hills (check mutual fund flows), hedgies liquidating, etc, etc. Short-term pain may continue, but intermediate to longer term longs initiated here should do well IMO. Short-term is anyones guess.
  8. U

    Too many bears?

    I agree. I am more bullish than bearish here. Sentiment has gotten out of control bearish lately. Remember the top in 2000? Nearly everyone was saying "buy this dip", now everyone convinced a new bear market has arrived. Numerous stats prove this (put/call ratio, odd lot shorts, VIX, etc)...
  9. U

    Overseas markets getting wacked

    You can almost cut the negativity out there with a knife - hell even Cramer has turned into a bear!!! I think we are closer than not to an intermediate term low - I don't think we will be off to the races again, but I do think some stabilization/sideways action is on the horizon.
  10. U

    Why did builder & mortgage puts go south?

    Multiple hedge funds (esp "market neutral") are in distress right now and liquidating positions causing dislocations in various areas - probably covering alot of their shorts in that sector to raise cash. That's my take FWIW. :)
  11. U

    How many traders get pleasure other than money

    Mainly due to all the "smart" money getting crushed...the fact that ordinary investors are getting hurt too brings me no pleasure. I'm not rooting for another Great Depression like some on here seem to be hoping for.
  12. U

    woohoo.. Dow 380 points..

    Lots of hedgies getting raped, which I do find mildly amusing :)
  13. U

    Anyone playing any arbitrage?

    Hedgies under stress likely the cause of widening spreads - they could go wider still depending on how things go.
  14. U

    woohoo.. Dow 380 points..

    Lots of Chicken Littles on here...lol... If the world financial system truly is failing then all the money you make shorting won't be worth anything anyway - I guess you could burn it to keep warm, lol.
  15. U

    woohoo.. Dow 380 points..

    CNN.com Headline: Breaking News The Dow closes more than 300 points down -- one of its worst days this year. Fear really starting to uptick...funny how quickly sentiment changes - a few weeks ago everyone was all smiles as the dow broke records, and now the world is about to end...
  16. U

    woohoo.. Dow 380 points..

    The herd is scared...
  17. U

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Interesting times...no doubt about that :D
  18. U

    CNBC doesn't realize the extent of cheerleading

    I wonder if she keeps her yard well trimmed... :D
  19. U

    ES Journal Archive (2006 - 2008)

    Lots of people leaning on the market here...ramp higher in the cards??? :confused:
  20. U

    XLF Short

    Agree. XLF is a crowded short and subject to massive whipsaw.
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