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Yea whatever... steven cohen from SAC was shorting the Pokemon stock (KDE) when it was like 200+ ... i guess he is not a pro trader in your book. Read shwaggers stock market wizards book. --MIKE

The trade is not hedged.. but i do have other equity longs that will hedge the short side exposure.

I dont agree.. who says that its ideal? Can you quantify this.. or is it just something you read somewhere? Actually, what i realized in my experience.. is that when u fade strength many times you get a much better entry and risk to reward than when u wait for a downtrend or for the stock to...

I have actually backtested trend following and buying dips into a strong trend in the stock market on baskets of stocks.. and there is only a tiny slight edge as opposed to buying stocks in a strong uptrend. The most important factor that influences stocks that i tested was the broader market...

Great example look at CMTL.. the trend is your friend... yea right... I am not saying that fading a strong trend is always the right thing to do... but as long as you have an exit to take the loss.. not much of a difference than going with the trend.. in my book. To me it all comes down to...

The price chart of a strong trend.. has no relevance to the future... I can show u many cases of stocks with strong uptrends dropping %20 and vice versa.. so what is your point. My stop is over 82.. i am looking for appl to trade in the 60's in the coming weeks.

I am short 500 shares of AAPL ... this new msft+mtv and post xmas buzz should put pressure on the stock in the coming weeks/months.. When you have an analyst upgrading a stock because of "coolness" factor you really have to question the risk to reward behind the stock...

This is almost a 1:3 reward to risk... i thought u usually prefer atleast a 1:1

Interesting... besides losing money on the -carry... is there any other reason not to trade in that direction?

How do u handle the negative interest factor of shorting usd/jpy.. do u just short spot?

Why do u think its time to buy jpy?

Currency trade of the year.. holly crap. The ultimate carry trade..

How is it possible to short the New Zealand stock market.. I think they are heading for a big fall.. --MIKE

Anyone know a good website that shows graphs or has good data comparing various fundemental data of different major countires.. like gdp growth, inflation, interest rates.. etc? --MIKE

its missing from the list.. try logging in with their browser based.. its not there???

bump

I logged into IB's TWS non stand alone.. and i cant find the setting to show unrealized P&L ? It used to be in the layout options???

I agree... but the only draw back is when shorting the kiwi against US.. the yield differential still hurts...

Can someone please explain why there yield curve is so inverted. Every short term bond is higher yield than the longer. Does this mean they are headed for recession? is there anything special about their financial situation that makes them immune to this ...

Looking forward to this.. the jpy/nzd must be one of the most popular carry trades arround.