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What other reasons are there for a strong USD? More deficits?

Not yet. My call for an extended bull trend was pre-mature. The key for the trend of the EUR/USD and other currencies in 2006 will be interest rates. If the Fed levels off, the EUR/USD will go up sharply and sustainedly in a strong uptrend, since I'm pretty sure European Central Bank will...

Utilities are crashing below support, financials and other interestrate sensitive are weak. Neutral on US markets. Made a good amount of real money on commodities this week, I think it'll continue. Like I said in the section on forex, bullish on commodity blocs AUD NZD CAD etc But mainly...

BuMp. Day one goes well. AUD/USD 0.7162. I see much higher prices--- partial decline on hourlies. NZD/USD 0.6150 Breakout of inverted H&S. USD/CAD 1.1681, the only loss, but it'll come back.. soon

Long's the way to go. Oil gold support. EUR/USD with so many tests of support on hourly charts, obvious bull.

Well, you're the one asking for REASONS. In "New Market Wizards" there was this guy who was on vacation, looked at oil charts and saw it was bullish. He made buy orders. 3 days later... Gulf War I begins.

http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=%7B3DBB245F%2D745A%2D456C%2D920D%2DA14B71B2C8D2%7D&siteid=mktw&dist= Gold and oil are going thru the roof and are bullish and BIG MEDIA IS BEARISH ON COMMODITY BLOCS AFTER BEING BEARISH ON THE USD for SO LONG! BULL ON THE COMMODITY...

$67 will be short term resistance for May oil. $70 next after that.

You want to know the rationale, the media feeds you some rationale. A day when the market is down, people are afraid of interest rates go higher. A day when the market is up, rate fears are easing. A day when oil goes down after DOE numbers, Big Media tells you supply is ample. If supply...

The guy who started this thread should post about how his current positions are doing, and if he's phoning his bankruptcy lawyer yet.

I thought reflexivity was caused by higher prices... I comprehend it as a trend's self-enhancement.

Actually, it's a reflexive process, so the USD affects commodities which effect interest rates which effect bonds which effect stocks, which at one point effects the Fed and the whole cycle starts again.

SPOT GOLD FIVE HUNDRED AND SEVENTY EIGHT! Above $575 RESISTANCE, BULL!

Whoever started this thread.. spot gold 574, just $1 from resistance... Either cover, or face bankruptcy in errmmm a few weeks.

Someone's going to be insolvent soon. SPOT GOLD BREAKS OVER 570.

Ha, Fed signals more hikes to come. The public is always wrong.

Ackhm! Coughs loudly. 65.30 May contracts.

I did have a position in a refinery stock, am still bullish on oil, but it all went into gold which should benefit indirectly from higher oil. 65.37 may contracts BULL BULL BULL.

Turning NEUTRAL on US market. 1)entering April-Oct period 2)Utilities weakening, in downtrend channe 3)Public too complacent on interest rates, the public is usually wrong.

TIE looks great to me. Breakout of base etc...