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  1. bone

    trading the Aussie futures indexes

    My apologies, but I have no material for public consumption - my clients would be furious. Jet you are on the right track - just keep trying to be consistent. Personally, I take a loss every day and so should you. Bang it out, grind it out... that's how it gets done. Key off of those...
  2. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    Yep. Your even seeing serious redemptions out of traditional 'alpha-generating' accounts like quant funds. Trillions of dollars stuffed in the proverbial mattress pad.
  3. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    Hey, I'm playing nice here - you're the one getting personal. Stay on topic about interest rates.
  4. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    With your kind of market prognostication skills, I can see why you have such a hard time accepting a consistent track record !
  5. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    And your participation in this thread is in defense of a short fixed income market opinion that is wrong and underwater?
  6. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    So, the intelligent conversation gets personal. Proven incorrect, and you get nasty on a personal level. Not mature. Not smart. I've had clients speak with the management at TransMarket Group, RCG, Advantage Futures, Man Financial, DE Trading, and check all of my references inside and...
  7. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    My clients love me, and successful clients provide wonderful references. Be nice - there's no downside in it. Open your mind, switch on the 'signal receive' mode.
  8. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    I don't see sovereign debt as 'flight-to-quality' anymore, everybody is choking on supply and more is coming down the pike. Physical commodities like metals, energy, grains, etc. is the darling place to park cash these days. They don't reach into the bond offer book like they used to...
  9. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    Hubris gives way to closed minds and over-reaching statements. We are giving you gems, golden nuggets, diamonds and you rebuff the generosity of thought and insult the providers. 1. No two instruments are identical, but trading the most closely related and correlated instruments is defined...
  10. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    Big D - you are describing apples to oranges and not a 'downside' from a purely correct technical standpoint. YM to CL is a good, solid statistical correlator, and I have no doubt that you do indeed successfully trade one based upon the relative value price action of the other (the spread). I...
  11. bone

    Copper spike

    Yep, very high correlation to the equities market - esp. the industrial/manufacturing sector. Much less so with precious metals, very nice correlation to aluminum - look at the LME 3-month High Grade Aluminum contract (USD).
  12. bone

    Big open interest in corn

    Explains the great short trade in the Sept. / Dec. calendar spread. Stevie Wonder saw that one coming.
  13. bone

    Who are the idiots buying bonds for 1% interest?

    The biggest positive to a spread is in its' modeling characteristics and risk/reward skew - cash flow is a nice feature but not an edge per se. Execution slippage/costs are a negative to spread trading. IMO proper spread trading offers the best strategy to building a consistent approach to the...
  14. bone

    CL Spreads

    I am getting short in here at -71 to -73, looking for about -90 to cover on the Oct-Nov.
  15. bone

    Gold - on cusp of massive bearmarket :)

    I love your enthusiasm but find your logic and methodology... well, wanting. Soooooooooooo many buyers just above $1,000. Why not just wait for a close below $1,000 before getting short? You know, swap some ego and a bit of trading range in exchange for better risk/reward skew? You...
  16. bone

    Looking For New Trading Computer... A GOOD One For A Good Price?

    Lenovo outlet store. Get a workstation - I bought a few S20's running 64-bit OS with NVIDIA CUDA Quadro video cards for less than $1500 a pop - fantastic value for a highly regarded box.
  17. bone

    Trading vs. business

    Please be very well organized with a carefully constructed trading plan and risk metrics before you risk dollar one. Have a trading strategy that is backtested thoroughly with a positive expectancy. Be conservative regarding your entry and exit levels if you are backtesting a discretionary...
  18. bone

    trading the Aussie futures indexes

    I have three Australian clients trading SFE and other regional exchanges like SGE - the two prop traders clear Man Financial and one is a former hedge fund analyst trading his own account through IB. One of the clients is using the CQG IC Spreader. The Australian Dollar, the equity markets...
  19. bone

    I Want Your Money

    Let's not sully and confuse the progressive social-democratic agenda with facts.
  20. bone

    I Want Your Money

    From the Executive Office of the President, Office of Management and Budget, the 2011 budget, page 134: Gross Federal Debt: 2007: 64.4 2008: 69.2 2009: 83.4 2010 est. : 94.3 (we're at 91.1 as of 08/02/10, 5 mos. to go) 2011 est. : 99.0 2012 est. : 100.0 The progressive element...
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