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That's great to hear. Glad you are doing well. aphie

Here is a question. Should I make the time-frame selectable? In other words, what option would this ideal indicator have? It would need a time-frame of course. If we looked at the past 50 contracts exchanged, that would be a very small and noisy time frame. So I think the indicator...

Runningbear, Great post! That is an excellent idea and one that I definately will pursue. Have you ever noticed a divergence between price levels going one direction while volume of bid hitting ask or vice-versa was suggesting something else? I bet this is probably one of the best...

There are two main types of systems in my opinion: a) Generality Systems b) Specific Systems What is being suggested here, in my opinion, is a more general system. Suppose we researched historical data and found that, statistically speaking, Wednesdays had a 1.2% greater probability...

The following illustration is an example of what is commonly wrong with standard MA's (non-adaptive MA's). There was a large gap up from the previous trading session, and the 20 MA took approximately half the day to finally get back in sync with the data. Jurik (who I have yet to hear from)...

Just out of morbid curiousity, someone program this into their intraday analysis program and tell me the results. Purchase at 9:50 Sell at 10:10 Past 50 days -- there are no short sides. aphie

If you are trading 250 contracts, that is already at least half a million just to cover the cost of margin, not to mention the excess funds you would need to maintain risk-management and money-management. At that level, you are no longer a regular "trader" but probably a well-known name among...

I never got into Fibos too much -- probably because I never really understood the concept. I understand they have relationships throughout the universe and nature, but it seems like the harmonics that drive an index are more powerful than the fibos -- and I just don't understand how they are to...

I actually use a 4 MA on the ES and, with that (given the right conditions, it is usually good for a point or more. However, it generally works well except for false signals, which is why I am on a quest for a more efficient MA that adapts to noise better than an SMA. I use the 2...

Tech, What kind of MA do you use? Simple, Exponential, Weighted, etc etc ... ? aphie

profitseer, An SMA of 1? That just connects the ticks together basically. aphie

If the DOW got to 5,000, the average P/E ratio for DOW 30 stocks would be under 9. That's using today's earnings. So I guess he's taking into account future earnings, where the company's P/E would be higher. The S&P has an average P/E of around 36.00 right now. So, technically speaking, it...

Then he can merely reference the 1 or 2 minute chart! aphie

http://www.stockcharts.com/education/Resources/Glossary/hammerhanging.html aphie

Captain Future, I'd rather hit the multi-state lotto tonight. :p aphie

Echo, You bring up an interesting point. From my discovery process (and it is by no means complete at this stage), I have found moving averages to be among the best indicators to make exit and entry decisions. After studying many various types of moving averages, the one that has appealed...

You've just discovered the second S in KISS. Congratulations! aphie

DeepHindsight, I agree. Complicated equals worse. However, if I can come up with a better moving average than what is out there (which would be complicated) and apply its use in a simple system, then I think that is different. We shall see. :confused: aphie

Captain, Yes, if I ever trade 250 contracts in one day, I am moving to Chicago. aphie

tntneo, One thing that I have noticed that seems to be very effective is using a larger time-frame -- perhaps a 10 minute candle chart, which "opens a signal" to a lower timeframe, perhaps a 2 minute chart, that gives a higher probability that a trade placed on the lower timeframe will be...