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  1. S

    Value of Backtesting and Stops

    Of course you would need paths in a perfect world. Usually pdf and autocorrelations of strategy returns will be fine.
  2. S

    Value of Backtesting and Stops

    Portfolio of 6 strategies. Actually this is more around 150%/year as it is not always very easy to really compound geometrically.
  3. S

    $1,000,000 in 3 Months

    This one gets my vote ! :D
  4. S

    Randomness (and Emergence)

    I see, just another troll. Ignore list.
  5. S

    Randomness (and Emergence)

    500 potential trades a day ? This sounds like your system is not really restrictive ! If one beats his own system, it just means he did not integrate all the variables he considers in his strategy.
  6. S

    Value of Backtesting and Stops

    0.4% a day, Sharpe ratio (if one can rely on that) around 5... Any more comments about backtesting ?
  7. S

    Value of Backtesting and Stops

    It is normal that stop-losses destroy value. In order to enhance a strategy using stop-losses, you need a distribution of strategy returns that is bi-modal (i.e. with two peaks) or very strong auto-correlations. If you don't want to take risks, don't trade ! The "rules of thumb" have just no...
  8. S

    Randomness (and Emergence)

    Trading is a game of position and risk management. This means your root mean square error of prediction is not of real interest. Precision of your indicator should be measured with respect to timing, not following a path with minimal deviation. No one gets rewarded for following a path in the...
  9. S

    Randomness (and Emergence)

    Some people here should learn what "random" means... It looks like a very bad prediction... I'm sorry
  10. S

    Trading is for dumb people

    We perhaps better stop feeding this troll...
  11. S

    Trading is for dumb people

    One can stop reading after that dumb sentence.... The market always goes up or down. it's all a matter of time scale. Microbiologist ? You mean truck driver ?
  12. S

    If you had to do it all over again....

    Full of wisdom. Definitely my answer too.
  13. S

    Potential Strategy

    They are, believe me. Just backtest it.
  14. S

    Potential Strategy

    It worked well on the last 43 days because there were a lot of "trend days" in the recent period...
  15. S

    The Largest Hedge Fund in the World

    As of today Bridgewater has 47bln$ in pure alpha strategy.
  16. S

    Strategies and Tactics for Intraday Trades

    Why don't you backtest it ? If the result is positive, trade it, otherwise forget it. It is so simple.
  17. S

    Does everyone have CNBC turned on while trading ?

    Better watch the muppets show...
  18. S

    Questions for ET QUANTS

    You seem to be very well informed...
  19. S

    How'd You Guys Do In May?

    Just send me money. I promise to spend it all... :cool:
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