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2:33PM: Qs are back again at 36.81. Moment of truth?

:-) Thanks for the excellent comments. You also seem to be a cool and patient person. I admire that. I have to work on my patience a lot more. Cheers!

15 minutes later, the model so far has nailed the top, but I hope market will go a bit higher to enter other trades. We will see what will happen for rest of day.

It is Julky 15, 2009. 2:06PM (Wallstreet time). With Qs at 36.81, I started shorting. A reason for this shorting is that one of my models is telling me that a top of some sort is around the corner (within zeo to 20 cents away on Qs) What are my chances? What do you think are the reasons...

What do you think?

you are asking the wrong question. seek help before you lose your risk capital. knowledge you can buy, risk capital less so.

Why did you decide to pay a 100K tuition instead of paying a lower tuition which you could have paid from trading gains (and only if there are trading gains)?

Go back to June 11, 2009, and watch what happen since then. Now that we have hindsight with us, did the downmove start?

As a function of time, (adequately processed) stocks prices can exhibit convexity (or concavity). I have models that predict such behavior of stock prices. Questions: 1. If you possess this information ahead of time, would you be able to make money with it? If yes how? 2. Do you agree with...

Your statement is not precise. If you mean it in general, then the answer is No (despite you may have been told).

lose money You have practically no chance to keep your money. Even if you were told what to do, you will do the opposite. When you have lost your money, and if you still have some on the side, then contact me. Do not contact me before you lose.

The article below says he converted to Islam: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/celebritynews/3494296/Michael-Jackson-converts-to-Islam-and-changes-name-to-Mikaeel.html

Breaking news of Michael Jackson's death on major news site is raising the question of his regilion. What religion was he following shorlty before news of his death? Is the breaking news a hoax?

Could explain intuitive trading a bit more? Would the expression common sense trading capture the same thing? I like intuitive better than common sense because it is short(i)er and also because profitable common sense trading might not be that common.

Where is AMT? We did not agree on certain things in the past, but I respect him and I hope that he is doing well and will be back soon. He is a good guy! I am not being sarcastic. Lookforward to seeing him back! Best regards to all of you guys!

That was a great winner for yesterday Check the chart!

You have been proven right again! Note that 88 is the high side of the right of the V bottom.

11:41AM (june 25): Qs at 36.26. My models tell me to take profits on longs, and start scaling in on short side. The short side should however be with a lower size. Good luck folks!

Would the above have worked better than holding through fed? In case of Qs it would have done well. I did not follow the SPY.