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Gap is such a tease up there at 1315. Failed to fill on first attempt in the opening hour, but seems almost too close not to have another stab at it.

Thanks, that article made it a little more clear.

Thanks for digging up this info Options12. Does anybody know specifically what this "preferential treatment" is under CFTC regulations, and what protection commodities accounts have, if any, under CFTC rules? As far as IB, all I know is they do not co-mingle customer funds regardless of...

Pause for longs ... possible DT with volume divergence, YM LH.

Agree ... gap fill above, T-day, big supports already hit below.

YW ... it's just one possible scenario (the support near 05.00), which I just noticed is also a re-test of the (down)TL breakout on the hourly. May not get there at all. To your TDAY question, the touch of 02.50 was a 50% p/b on the hourly (I mentioned it yesterday). Those 50% support areas...

9.75 turn ... 50% from yest. high to today's low, to the tick I believe. Let's see if they put in support @ 50% back down again, ~ 5.00-5.50, which is also yesterday's low (for possible IHS?).

There's an unfilled gap from last week at 02.75, which is also 50% of the last run up from 1286, fwiw (50% = 02.25). Last 50% retrace we had was from about the same size up move, 30 pts. Cheers.

Understood. Thnx.

Interesting thread shopster, and great looking charts. I do have a couple questions about your last EUR/AUD chart. #1 - The point at which you set the fibs, 0 being the LOD and 100 being the high of the bar that gapped above the MA (unless I'm missing something) ... what is the rationale...

01/20 ES recap: - Open @ 2 pts below P/D close - Did not fill the gap, nor the open gap from Wed. (02.75) - opening 30min range: 3.00 - RTH range: 5.00 - Globex range: 6.75 - Close (probably) within 1pt of open. Still 45min to go , but ... :( Edit: ok, guess I spoke too soon...

The YM/ES divergence is insane. YM filled its gap 50 pts ago, ES not even close, and not looking very likely at the moment.

I could be wrong but I don't think it's considered a flag when the retrace is ~ 75-80% of the initial move. That pin bar low in Oct. and the huge volume @ the 50% retrace in late Nov. look mad bullish to me.

50% RTH = 7.50, (7.75 = open), line in the sand. Seems to be holding (says captain obvious). :)

YM DT points to gap fill, most likely.

EUR looks to be reversing @ resis. here, also YM triple top with yesterday. That should pull ES down a bit, imho. Perhaps we'll see an EOD swoon so the big players can load up cheap for the overnight/T-day rally?

Ammo, if I may ask, what was your target on the original lot? And approx. what % of your trades hit tgt with only 1 lot on board?

Could be good swing L entry here, stop LOD.

He has his predefined disaster stop so he's all good. What it really proves is it's all about the exits.

ammo that's hardcore. Nice work!