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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    so your point is that since u believe trend following losers outnumber trend following winners, nobody should do it.. you also believe that all gains accumulated from trend following systems are random. akin to winning the lotto. how did you come to this conclusion. i'd like to know...
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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    asset rotation by funds of funds from one strategy to another is a function of trend following in itself. isn't any strategy's success really dependent on the current market.. i mean, certain strategies will fall in and out of favor depending on market cycle. i don't know how one...
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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    i like blonde chicks with a big rack.
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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    let's make a bet then, shall we? a million dollars that trend following systems continue to exist and thrive in 10 years. in fact, i'll personally make sure it happens. i can have my lawyer draft up a contract if you're interested.
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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    i know a guy who's never had a losing month as a trend follower. in fact, he's only been down 5 different weeks in 7 years. he must be REALLY lucky.
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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    maybe all this guy althucher is saying is that there are too many mooks in the market who have no idea what they're doing.
  7. L

    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    yes, and some people have the uncanny ability and vision to identify trends as they develop. because most people are unsuccesful or rather, incapable of it doesn't make it worthless. rather, it is perceived as worthless. the large increase of players in the trend fund arena implies...
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    Althucher guesses: trend funds to disappear within the next 10 years...

    T Boone Pickens made $1.5 billion following the oil trend.
  9. L

    If Global warming was a fact, what would be the economic and political ramifications?

    Man and all his creations are products of nature, earth.... We are not aliens who flew in and desecrated the order. Therefore, "normal".
  10. L

    If Global warming was a fact, what would be the economic and political ramifications?

    the earth has warmed up significantly since the ice age. so, what's new...
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    NYSE trading Dead?? Hybrid??? End of alot of traders

    After the hybrid is implemented, there will be no excuses for their losses. How will traders handle that?
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    Conversions vs. Bullets

    I was talking to a few trader buddies of mine who use them at another firm. Can someone explain to me why conversions used to bypass the uptick rule are legal, while bullets are not? Is this merely loophole strategy? Sounds like playing with fire. Or am I wrong.
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    zero sum game?????????????

    of course it is relevant. wheter it be short or seller, a seller is matched with a buyer. a seller who sells too early incurs opportunity cost, or loss. and don't argue that opportunity cost does not exist. if a man retires at 30 and doesn't work another day, he is losing by not...
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    trading maxim - 8 down days, 9th day up?

    Actually, if trading equities, the "closing" price is marked at 4pm. The stock could still finish down for the DAY in afterhour trading.
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    zero sum game?????????????

    Actually, the Efficient Market Hypothesis is the central part of a larger field of economics called the Efficient Market Theory (EMT).
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    zero sum game?????????????

    Well I know that the efficient market theory is bullsh*t.
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    zero sum game?????????????

    profits and losses are realized when positions are CLOSED. so an open winning position in a bull market may eventually be closed out at a loss during a bear market. it is near impossible to calculate the real winners or losers from any one transaction because a long or short position can...
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    zero sum game?????????????

    yes, that's what it is.. a theory.
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    zero sum game?????????????

    equity markets are probably not absolute zero sum, but many traders seem to believe that one man's misery is often another man's gain. it is war for many. so the concept of zero sum does get thrown into the mix. it's semantics, really...
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