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Actually FT, in the eyes of the GOP and most people there is an easy answer for that. Cuts to our government are necessary to get out of the debt hole that we're in. Once the cuts are implemented, it is on whomever is in charge to APPROPRIATELY allocate the existing resources. It is...

Yeah, I've tried the best I could to get a fair forecast. The turnout in 2008 was; Pennsylvania DEM -- 44 GOP -- 37 IND -- 17 Other -- 2 Ohio DEM -- 39 GOP -- 31 IND -- 27 Other -- 3 It is possible that DEM turnout in PA drops to about 41%, but in 2000 and 2004 it was 42 and 41...

I watch MSNBC, FOX, and CNN after each debate to try to get a clearer view. Obviously, MSNBC almost always leans Obama. Interestingly, even though I thought the debate was very close last night, with a slight edge to Obama it didn't seem to affect people much. Contrast the clip you posted...

PA-- DEM -- 42% GOP -- 39% IND -- 17% Other - 2% OH-- DEM -- 37% GOP -- 36% IND -- 22% Other - 5% [edit] These are based on the 2000, 2004, and 2008 exit polls in those states and accounts for realistic increases in GOP turnout and somewhat depressed DEM turnout this year. In...

BTW, the reason everyone cares about women and not indies this time around is because if O loses his edge with women, the indies don't matter. Women voted for Obama by a 13 point margin in 2008 and they make up the largest voter block. Specifically, Obama had a huge 40 point edge with...

Yes, but OH is a must win for R, not for O. PA and MI are must wins for O. If he loses either of those states, it is in the bag for R.

The problem is that you are using two statistical outliers as a baseline. In stats you must first establish a real baseline and then consider the recent data. Pennsylvania 2000 - Gore beats Bush by 4 points 2004 - Kerry beats Bush by 2.5 points 2008 - Obama beats McCain by 10 points...

Yes, of those three, WI is the most in play for Romney. IMO, it and OH is where all his money and effort should go. It was one of the only states in the nation, and certainly the only swing state, with LOWER turnout in 2008 than previous years. All the stats say that when GOP voters are...

"In Play" doesn't mean a likely win. It means that where there used to be almost zero chance of a Romney victory, there is now a mathematical possibility of a Romney win. Obama "only" has a 5-point edge there with just 3 weeks left. So team Romney just scored two touchdowns in the last 4...

That's the point. You can't just toss out the partisan voters. Let's take NM for example. Romney leads by about 8 points with IND voters. That still isn't enough to offset the fact that the number of DEM voters there is about 18 points higher than the number of GOP voters. 1 in 3 voters are...

Unskewed is unrealistic. You can't simply increase the GOP voter turnout to equal DEM turnout in every state. Regardless of GOP enthusiasm, PA, OH, WI, NM, & NV have all had very real demographic changes during the past decade or more. There is almost no chance (<10%) that Romney wins NM...

No, you are assuming a much more dramatic outcome than was likely. Why must we make the huge jump to death. To carry on your analogy, we had a patient with kidney failure. What Jem is suggesting is more like saying that if the doctor had done a nephrectomy the patient would be golfing by now...

I agree that is what PART OF the conclusion is. It hasn't ever worked and can't work. It is the equivalent of the average family with income of $35K annual and credit card debt of $63K. And then to make matters worse that family's expenses are $38K annual. To carry on the analogy a bit...

Ricter, you do realize that the conclusion of this article isn't simply that austerity won't work, right? In essence it is saying that the situation is so bad that austerity can't work. They aren't claiming that if Greece abandons austerity, then the situation can be fixed. They are...

Indeed. For some people this personal definition is cultivated and expressed through religion, while for others it is developed regardless of religion. For those who feel that structured religion has provided this, it is understandable that they would assume others would be benefited by it...

Hmmm... so according to you, Obama doesn't seek guidance from the "invisible man in the sky". I find that in direct conflict with his actual words. "And let me tell you, these past two years, they have deepened my faith. The presidency has a funny way of making a person feel the need to...

You know FT, you can keep going on and on about what you believe are provable facts about the incorrectness of the faith, but that doesn't change the fact that those who belong to it have an undisputed reputation for possessing the exact characteristics that we claim to want in our leaders...

Doesn't matter to me at all. I don't care if they are Mormon, Atheist, Buddhist, or Muslim. What matters is how the person will govern. Mormons in prominent political positions have already easily proven their ability to govern. Anyone who says otherwise is not being honest.

Free Thinker, You do realize that the top Mormon leaders broadcast their sermons twice a year and anyone who wants to can watch them? Go ahead and pull up their website and listen to a few. "Go to school and receive as much education as you can." "Honest day's work for an honest day's...

That's a silly question. All religions preach that competing religions are incorrect. They are competing for the same attendees. Which is true in religion is always a matter of faith and is otherwise unprovable. Most faiths that can not only survive, but also can grow throughout the years by...