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  1. Matt_ORATS

    Is Skew Cheap Or Expensive?

    We use delta to produce slope. This will normalize the strikes and make the comparison better inter-month, and inter-stocks. Our Slope is up today and so is this method (25 delta put vol -25 delta call vol)/ATM vol https://gyazo.com/5cdadad90422b88228119b8f4cccf438
  2. Matt_ORATS

    Is Skew Cheap Or Expensive?

    Yes, our skew data is available in real-time. It takes a few seconds to calculate, but yes, it is available and requires a Tradier account. We also produce 15-minute delayed. Here is a sampling of the Live Data API: iv10d=implied volatility at the 10 day, ATM Slope see the previous post...
  3. Matt_ORATS

    Cost of Vega Convexity/no arb criterium for wings

    I just put up a separate thread based on your post: Is skew cheap or expensive? I look at historical slope (our measure of skew), ratio of slope to the best related ETF, ratio of slope to the components of the best ETF, and ratio to the forecast slope.
  4. Matt_ORATS

    Is Skew Cheap Or Expensive?

    Skew in options is the slope of the implied volatility of the strikes in an expiration month. Skew is constantly changing and can affect the value of options and spreads. Risk reversals and wide vertical spreads are among the most affected by changes in skew. So, how do you know if skew is...
  5. Matt_ORATS

    Historical options data

    There are nearly 1 million options and there are going to be cases where there are quotes that are non-standard or stale from the exchanges. When we backtest, we use a put-call parity flags, clear mis-pricing flags, and other methods to avoid simulating a trade. However, when we publish this...
  6. Matt_ORATS

    Historical options data

    Aquarians, running sanity checks like you did is important with historical options data. You will often identify odd options that have prices that seem to violate put-call parity. What is happening is that there are special options that have non-standard specifications due to dividends, special...
  7. Matt_ORATS

    Historical options data

    Hi Aqua We take a snapshot of all options prices and stock prices 14-minutes before the close. The stock price and options prices are taken at the same time. Moreover, we utilize a residual yield solving mechanism if for some reason the stock price is off from the options prices. The residual...
  8. Matt_ORATS

    Resource recs for hedging strategies?

    Backtest put strategies that do what you expect in tough times like 2008, 2020 or other times.
  9. Matt_ORATS

    What's wrong with EOD option quotes?

    I am suggesting that representative options markets are better reflected well before the close. Many firms trade large size on the close. One of our clients trades like this. It makes it very difficult to hedge an options trade when the volume is so great in the underlying. There are methods for...
  10. Matt_ORATS

    What's wrong with EOD option quotes?

    As a past market maker and backer of market makers, I echo ajacobson and newwurldmn adding that there are many firms that have algos trading stocks and some options near the close that will create additional volatility near the close. We take a snapshot of markets 14-minutes before the close...
  11. Matt_ORATS

    Call Selling Strategy (3 year backtest results)

    This is a good test but has a couple of problems. AAPL post split closing trades are valued at zero. You should be exiting at expiration at parity. You are penalizing yourself for using the bid/ask. For example, SAM 3/19/21 closed ~1100 and you marked your 1500 calls that should have expired...
  12. Matt_ORATS

    Any Reasonably Priced Options Backtester?

    We have an EliteTrader special at https://info.orats.com/elitetrader Tools-Backtester Wheel Special Startup $299 First Year or Wheel Special $49 Month
  13. Matt_ORATS

    1987 & Skew debate

    I think it is basic. They want to participate in the bull market on these names. They buy calls at low prices. Gamification.
  14. Matt_ORATS

    1987 & Skew debate

    And today thanks to the Robinhood type traders, we see a skew in the right tail. Below is a graph of 5 delta IV divided by 75 delta 30 day IV for the components of the S&P, we denote SPY_C in our wheel.orats.com online platform: https://gyazo.com/608d1eaa78dc96fbd9cf7ed7fcd6ed6f
  15. Matt_ORATS

    Historical options data

    Hi We have special EliteTrader pricing. https://info.orats.com/elitetrader Historical near end-of-day quotes back to 2007 via FTP are available for a special price of $399 per yearfor updating files daily plus only $399 one time fee for initial bulk download. We offer a one-time and recurring...
  16. Matt_ORATS

    Optimal selloff event hedging strategy

    You could simulate a backtest on your short puts and combine the returns with a long put like this one in SPY:
  17. Matt_ORATS

    Trying to Gauge Options Trading Strategy Success

    You might backtest your strategies and compare your performance. Here's a ITM buywrite in AAPL
  18. Matt_ORATS

    How we do the skew summarization calculations

    Benefits of smoothing Smooth market volatilities (SMV) derived from the options market helps traders make sense of a plethora of exchange quotes. There are three main benefits of smoothing the implied volatility skew: Call and put theoretical values can be compared to market bid-ask quotes to...
  19. Matt_ORATS

    Return on Investment: Historical Options Pricing

    Option Research & Technology Services = ORATS No takers on the hats yet--are you guys shy? Get'em before cancel culture says we are mean to rats.
  20. Matt_ORATS

    How did this fund lose so much money from losing money buying puts during Covid crash?

    There are ways to structure crash protection with off setting shorts. I prefer a short put spread against owing two long term puts. Here's a backtest of that structure:
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