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I do not think that this is the best strategy when you seem to be a risk adverse trader. Credit spread at reversal of underlying is IMO the best way to go.

I think it might go as high as 72 before finally correcting down. Closest daily cycle will be completed around 1-11-06 and if still below 70 at that time you will get 3-6 correction. If it is past 72 , correction will be twice of that. Intraday cycles will be completed 12-27 at 10:20 and...

Why don't you then improve it and post it here as Sidi did ? You seems to know what you are talking about so post something specific .

I would say my eyes are the most reliable tool. Other then that, trendlines, MA, Bollinger or Linear regression tools should do the work.

Time for today is 12:10 est for Monday 11;30 est. I will be taking Christmas break, so Merry Christmas everyone!

Watch around 12:40est . Times posted were very close to daily extremes lately. I hope that NAZ will " obey" me in the future as good as it did so far.lol

Your ego is clouding your judgement . System which fail when backtested might make money in the future if conditions change .. Everybody knows that. Except you, of course. My point is to show that you are not capable of correcting simple mistake if admitting it comes to a place. Which is...

Tomorrow watch around 10:45est 12:50 today was almost daily high keep this trendline for the future.

You are wrong, you wrote two pages back " system which fails when bactested will surely not work in the future." In the light of this spinster explanation, I sincerely doubt that your expertize in system developing is better then average, if that. On the other hand you seem to be a good...

1/ Here you go again and you are wrong again. If systems fails it does not mean it cannot be profitable in the future. 2/ How do you measure likelihood that it will work in the future ?

How do you get an"" evidence that it will work in the future "",? From profitable back test? Is there EVER any evidence that system will work in the future?

Tomorrow, draw trendlines at nearest price extreme at 10;50 and 12;50 est. Those of you who are keeping trendlines on daily charts, you should have all important levels for this week.

I am not sure what do you mean by '' Day on Day predictive formula " but it is possible to backtest indicators values and get profitable entry and exit criteria.

That statement is false. You should know better .

What is the reason(s) why predictive modeling is not used by many ? What do you basing your models on ? Thanks

I agree with you and I am curious ,what do you use to deliver prediction ? Indicators , geometry ? Thanks

I told you so.

Tomorrow watch closely around 10:20 and 14:50est.

On daily chart look for 12-12 for possible reversal. Important price level will be established on 12-01 around 11;30est.

Tomorrow 11-29 watch around 10:40 and 13:30est .