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I feel I am missing the most important rally of all times. I am putting everything I have left in cash in silver today at the open. I mean all the cash I got. This thing has a long way to go. Don't care about risk management. It recovered in one just day and now it is making new highs. This is...

+100

I have noticed you have some kind of fixation with Greece my friend. Forget about Greece, it is a drop in the ocean of debt. The real problems are with US, France, Italy, the UK, Spain and a few others. Do you know how much money these countries owe combined and whether any assumption that they...

Don't care about bubbles. Rally is alive in silver. Everyone I know has bought by now and sitting on good profits. I may put everything in my account in SLV today because I think it is on its way to $50, non-stop.

Black box?

Someone I know bought 500K worth of SLV yesterday. He told me free money is given out by investing in silver, like a QE for traders. I am kind of hesitant at this point to follow the herd but it may turn out that I am just stupid. Thinking too much and too logically may not be a sign of...

Thanks for the link Jack

Bernanke should hire you for QE3. Stay away from trading...

Given the drawdown levels of most hedge funds during 2008, it does not follow that they use the 0.5% risk limit.

16-year old software. What a loser....:)

You are correct in that it is less accurate but why are you saying it is simpler? I don't get that. I ran accross this problem recently and I was stunned to find out that dividend adjustments distort price series beyond recognition as it is shown in the animated gif in this blog...

I don't understand why most of you are wasting your time trying to understand what the merits are of a system with profit factors of 1.18 and 1.2. This is basically a worthless system. There is no need to over-analyze things. The kid should be told that any system with a profit factor less that...

Programming is not the issue with fancy platform like MT or NT or TS or whatever. The real issue is coming up with a good idea. You can auto-program a million ways to lose money with a wizard. Amibroker has one for a long time now. So what? It never helped me to make any money. It only helps...

Most people don't understand the dangers of trend following. For example, check out this blogger: http://www.automated-trading-system.com/trade-monthly-basis/ He discusses a system with 67% drawdown while ignoring what this means in reality. Oh boy, imagine you start with 10 Million of...

No human being is useless unless you want it to be that way.

Bill, I see the data covered the period 01/1998 to 12/2010, EOD. How long did the program take to finish each run?

Thanks a lot for the links to the paper and software. I did some research and backtesting in the meantime and I found out that traditional candlestick formations offer a very small edge. The software is very interesting and I think I am getting it. I also like the indicator part of it. The idea...

Thanks for the clarifications. I still don't see the point. I understand you generated a number of targets based on a number of binary inputs with a few known to you patterns and then you populated the output with random entries. Am I right so far? Then you asked in this forum if people...

It would be silly IMO to pay $2k when you can get Amibroker for only $200 and do all that plus a lot more.

The first thing you should do IMO is to analyze the trades statistically to see if they are random or not. If they are random there is nothing you can do, do not waste your time. If they are not random you may have an edge and you can try to imrpove it. You can either do the analysis yourself or...