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from a trade perspective, i am looking to short IYR into strength nice risk/reward and hedge in this play

pre fed announcement is excellent (in index futures) for a basic means reversion strategy very very tradeable

"Mandelbrot studied the clumping of 3 sigma and greater events and their implications in natural systems. He then found the same phenom in the markets. Lastly he was unable to ascertain direction but could forecast volatility." which is part of the reason why people can use TA effectively...

the biggest moves in the futes are ALWAYS forced liquidations when you see moves of over 100 pts in a matter of minutes - rest assured - others are feeling massive pain every dollar marked to my account is somebody else's loss in futes (zero sum market). IB is not stupid. brokers have...

you don't need a "clear trend" to trade (at least if you are trading index futures) play the tape. and pick up value on the selloffs in quality stocks

" I feel like every trade I am in ends up being a loser." i reread the OP. i find one can get amazing insights into the psychology of the losing trader, by the words they use. police interrogators, job interviewers etc. know this as well. note: "i ***feel*** like every trade I am...

even if true - it's irrelevant in the short-run supply and demand (driven by emotion, etc.) rules the market. it's PEOPLE driven. people are not random in the long run, quality and value run the market. over time, good companies are recognized. the two greatest investments i ever...

again, another semantical wank with the word "predict" nobody can predict WITH ANYWHERE NEAR 100% certainty what the market will do. people can make positive expectancy "predictions" based on statistically valid setups. for example... i have a setup that when proper conditions set...

70 pt gapfill alone worth its price in gold nice solid overhead resistance to set your risk point at it was dreeeeeeemy

the first 20 minutes of trading offered more points than the dow does in 3 or 4 days on slower patterns guys, make the most of the market. i have never seen it this tradeable in the dow futures

"you are not afraid of missing out on oppurtunities, its better to just be all cash " um, no not as a trader it's better to make high expectancy trades - long or short. that's ALWAYS the case.

you are completely missing my point in re the amex. it was the exact opposite fwiw, i have seen crossed bid/asks on AMEX when SPY action gets fast i have never seen that in ES like i said, this is extensively backtested. it aint opinion. it's tested fact. if you want to believe...

i have seen a successful scalper who can trade the dow futures watching ONLY time and sales. so, it CAN be done. of course, i don't limit myself to time/sales because there is stuff that adds confluence and perspective. but time and sale provides info that nearly every indicator...

"WTF i just read an article by a bearish analyst say the the PE for the world market is at an all time high of 20.......and thus warned of an impeding world wide selloff (already underway). on yahoo finance i see the PE for SPY at 15.61 the analyst quoted above says the S&P is the cheapest...

i agree. the VIX is unique among (nearly all) futures contracts, in that there is no underlying to exchange with or be fungible with. iow, the ES *has* to move in a fair value range with the underlyings or arb opp's present. this is NOT true with the VIX futures, since you can't arb...

while the premise might be correct, arguing for a statistical certainty based on (as i count it from his chart) FIVE INSTANCES (n=5) is completely ridiculous. this shows a complete misunderstanding of statistics, and of technical analysis show me n=50, and i might be convinced. is...

the problem with the VIX futes is the spread (usually) sux and they don't track the underlying VIX very closely at all.

it's simply based on experience. in my path to trading accomplishment (tm) i tested my setups on DIA and SPY before even considering ES and YM. i eventually settled on YM positive expectancy (n= several hundred) using the exact same setups on ES and YM as with SPY and DIA went up...

i think IB only REQUIRES the token for those who trade OPM (iow an advisor account) i was mailed a token for my advisor account quite some time ago. I love it. so do my clients (the peace of mind of knowing their money is protected this way). i was never mailed one for my individual...

an example of what? ES better fills than SPY ? or YM better for scalping than ES (assuming you are not some monster who needs to trade 100 lots)?