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  1. R

    The basis of comparing different position sizing methods?

    Good questions. I'm a position trader. I hold a maximum of 10 open positions at a time. In the past I could have 30 open positions at a time, no problem. Now things are different. It is more of a psychological problem than anything else. As you grow older you can't deal with too many things at...
  2. R

    Looking for good backtesting and trading platform

    Good link. I will take a look at that product because it advertises some functions not available in other systems of this kind. However, under Contact Us this is the only information available: Contact Us If you have any questions or comments please send an email to...
  3. R

    The basis of comparing different position sizing methods?

    Look, I don't know what you mean by that but my position sizing method is very simple. I don't risk more than 2% of my available equity at any given time and that is cumulative risk that takes into account all open positions. At this point in time I have 6 long and 2 short open positions in...
  4. R

    The basis of comparing different position sizing methods?

    Open as many accounts as your different position sizing methods and at the end of the trading year compare the results. Make sure you trade the same signals in all different accounts and you just vary the position size according to your methods. Look, there is no other way to test trading...
  5. R

    The basis of comparing different position sizing methods?

    All sounds good until an unexpected streak of losers comes along with your name on it. Ron
  6. R

    No curbs yet???

    Some posters seem to live in the past century and at times when the Dow was at the 5,000 level and a 200 decline translated to 4% off the index value. In this century and around this time, the Dow is at the 14,000 level and 200 point fluctuations are within its normal volatility range. Drops...
  7. R

    Another Tradestation 2000i Question - Stop Orders in Strategy Tester

    To start with, I'm not sure your entry makes sense. As a general rule, you cannot have an entry at the open while you are already at that bar. But I may be missing what you're trying to do. I recall that TS2000i implements an algorithm for "looking inside a bar". I don't remember the details...
  8. R

    IB is Refco 2.0!

    So, what's wrong with: "The scheme, which involved selling 31 million shares of Altana at the close on May 3, triggered a short squeeze among market makers holding certain options positions." I mean market makers should learn to accept losses and not call for an investigation every time...
  9. R

    Daytraders: how many stocks do you monitor at a time?

    You got two competing objectives and no surprise your scan produced results that include several stocks for which ATR cannot be computed or it is very low. In addition, HLT had a buyout offer and its ATR is very low. LYO had a huge gap yestreday. You need stocks like: AVB, RIMM, CMI, CME...
  10. R

    Markets Are Soaring But Wait, AD line Negative

    I agree. Dow is undervalued based on earnings estimates. If actual earnings come out same or exceed estimates the Dow will fly to 15,000 by year's end. I'm bullish with a stop at the 13,700 level. Most people have missed this rally because they try hard to analyze the market instead of...
  11. R

    Markets Are Soaring But Wait, AD line Negative

    This is always the case. It is highly improbable to have a sustained across the board rally. Always there are leaders. In the NASDAQ rally of late 90's, the leaders were the dot coms and the AD line kept going south during the duration of the rally. Look it up... Ron
  12. R

    Cramer says welcome to 1995 all over again!!!!

    I agree. When a crime is committed the primary suspect for experienced detectives is the person who would benefit most. Has it crossed your mind that behind global terrorism may be Russian operatives of the old KGB? The country that has benefited most from the rise in oil prices is Russia. I...
  13. R

    Money management, is this all you need?

    I think you are wasting your time reading Van Tharp's books. Try instead developing your own system, one that will provide you with an edge, a small winning bias. I know of a fund manager who has annual returns of over 80% in the past 5 years and he is using simple moving average crossover...
  14. R

    Kelly formula is just for gamblers

    Oh, I know the feeling...you can try hiring a young assistant...That fund guy with the impressive gains , I forget his name, got one :) Ron
  15. R

    Kelly formula is just for gamblers

    No guarantee but this is the stop loss (4 points x 1,000 shares) Thus, under normal market conditions it is the maximum position risk. Ron
  16. R

    Kelly formula is just for gamblers

    gbos, things for me are way simpler than that. Example: MSFT is trading at around $29.50 at this moment. Let's say I have 100k equity in my account and my system says to go long for $4 profit/loss. Also, my system has a 65% actual success rate with R =1. According to Kelly formula the...
  17. R

    Are low prob trades the new black?

    IMO there are several highly successful traders (and fund manages, yes!) who are members of this website. Most of them are contrarian I have noticed and use low prob settings. Ron
  18. R

    Kelly formula is just for gamblers

    You did not have to ask this question but the answer is no. Ron
  19. R

    Kelly formula is just for gamblers

    Read what Alexander Elder has to say about NOT using optimal f here: http://books.google.com/books?id=gSp_vFURzl8C&pg=PA231&lpg=PA231&dq=optimal+f+position&source=web&ots=0lBY_MW1xq&sig=TYIMMgts0nfUxlvrYL9eH-2d7uk#PPA231,M1 "... it also leads to vicious drawdowns that may exceed 90% of...
  20. R

    Kelly formula is just for gamblers

    I agree. This is the only way they can do it without removing too much liquidity from the market and thus increasing price volatility. Good point. Ron
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