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Give those guys a break. It will take time. Ron

http://www.tickdata.com/index.shtml Ron

Do you have proof that he doesn't trade? As far as disclosing his trades, why should he? Ron

Buy and hold does NOT mean: (a) buying blindly (b) buying the index (c) holding forever (d) holding and ignoring bad news or technicals Buy and hold is value investing based primarily on fundamental analysis but does NOT preclude technical analysis. The holding period is...

His main point is that people that caused the problem cannot solve it. He is right.

The real problem is that they all wanted a prince but they settlled instead for a finance geek. Ron

More importantly, when the majority is certain of an upcoming catastrophe, markets recover and go into an uptrend. So I am reading carefully these threads and I am counting the number of those who think the end is coming as an indicator to help me decide when to invest in the stock market...

In order to know the expectancy you must know the stops and profit targets. So how can one say that in turn, the expectancy determines stops and profit targets? Ron

Exactly!

Free material: http://www.tradingpatterns.com/Kelly.pdf http://www.tradingpatterns.com/PositionSizing.pdf The book is also excellent: http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-047022908X.html Chapters 4 and 5 offer a good intro. Ron

What about the possibility of deflation in some areas and inflation in some other areas of the economy? Ron

There are many hyped-up authors publishing trading books but many of them have never actually traded a single share or futures contarct. It is sad that legitimate publishing houses even consider authors without a trading record to back up at least some of their claims. Michael Harris and a...

Hi Jerry, Do you know of a program that can do this as part of the back-testing analysis? By SOM did you mean "self-organizing map"? I have tried something along these lines using NN before but it did not work very well. Best wishes for the Holiday Season! Ron

For a derivation of the formula that relates the win/success rate to R:R and profit factor, as well as, a good discussion relating to trading different timeframes, read this paper by Michael Harris: http://www.tradingpatterns.com/profitability.pdf For the derivation and use of Expectancy...

(A) http://www.quotetracker.com/ (B) http://www.multicharts.net/features.php (C) http://amibroker.com/ (E) http://www.tradingpatterns.com/ (data mining) (F) http://www.worden.com/ (US equities only) (G) http://www.armencomp.com/

No, this is wrong, leverage should affect neither your stop price nor your target price but only your capitalization. It is the number of shares/contracts that could change in the presense of leverage but not necessarily so. The number of shares/contracts is equal to N = PR X C/SL, where PR...

Price action, TA, pure guessing, astrology, whatever that is you use doesn't matter, math tells you exactly what you have to do in order to be a succesful trader and that is, over a given evaluation period, your expected return, expected gain, expectacy, or whatever name you assign to this...

I don't know about vectorbull because I have never used it and it may be a good program but what it does, based on the website presentation, cannot be compared to APS functionality simple because they are two different programs for different use. Vectorbull appears to be a real-time market...

Most traders risk a small percentage of their bankroll on each trade because the probability of a large drawdown cannot be known in advance. Of course, the drawdown is related to the number of losers and expecially to consecutive losing trade sequences during a given time period. For an...

Yes, get tick data and create the files you want according to your own specs. Ron