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  1. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    As expected, my short position was stopped out today for a loss of $775 (or 15.5 ES points). Total profit since beginning: $14,325
  2. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    Daal, I haven't automated my strategy, and have no intention to do so at this moment. Unfortunately, I'm lacking the programming skills. But I did a backtest before going live and documenting my trades in this journal. Find the plot of altogether 73 trades (round turns) attached. This is all...
  3. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    Thank you, vinc and Laissez Faire! To answer your questions vinc, I enter as soon as I see a break of support or resistance. The large time frames I use do not quite warrant waiting for a close as price may have advanced significantly by then. On a sidenote, I see that I have been drawn into...
  4. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    I figured out the same many years ago. The rewards from day trading do not justify the challenges and emotional drainage. Not that traders cannot succeed in it, but chances are very slim in the long run. Many experienced traders therefore shift toward more longer term horizons and observe...
  5. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    Price is breaking a visible support basis at 1280 after ranging 25 points up and down (see 1H or 4H chart). I reversed just now at 1280.50, and taking the proceeds from my previous long position of $3,162.50. The stop is 1296.00 Total profit since beginning: $15,100
  6. Bombardier

    Xmas rally is just starting

    It definitely would be. But then all those pundits, gurus, and so-called "experts" would jump in and try to convince us about overbought conditions. The crash was imminent. Be very careful. Do not trust this market. It was all manipulated. The big boys were selling. Don't get suckered in. They...
  7. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    Very pleased with the current stability in markets. I have adjusted my stop to 1260 and continue to sit on my position since December 20.
  8. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    You point out a very valid issue, gmst. Position scaling is something I will have to deal with in the near future once my accumulated profits justify an upgrade. When I traded CFDs and ETFs back then (which allow very flexible scaling in small amounts), I haven't had much success with adding to...
  9. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    I don't think that any action based on an expectation is a good idea at all. Assumingly, you worry that we will crash anytime. It's something I have put aside after a while. I just had enough of worrying all the time. Even if someone screams "fire", I would probably just sit here until I...
  10. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    I am still happily enjoying my long position and have adjusted the stop to 1242, a higher low created on the way up. I tweaked a lot with my charting setup in December to best visualize the trends that I trade. The primary charts are now the 4H ES and 1H SPY each with the well-known rainbow...
  11. Bombardier

    If trend following, can money management save you in chop?

    Very good point. Exactly the way I trade, too. Just limit the risk, and the rest will take care of by itself.
  12. Bombardier

    Xmas rally is just starting

    It already dropped a few years ago and bounced back. Everything you summarized earlier is old news. Just my two cents, take it fwiw.
  13. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    That really looks like something worthwhile to pursue! I basically do the same manually by entering at big moves. Have you tested the same with the ES? My opinion is that the ES reveals trend patterns that are otherwise hidden in the SPY, because it does not trade around the clock. Perhaps your...
  14. Bombardier

    Xmas rally is just starting

    You were basically saying that as long as the S&P 500 is below the May highs, it is bearish. And if it ever gets above it, it is bearish nevertheless because it's manipulated. I haven't read anything more nonsensical than this (don't take it personally). Why don't you start to really trade what...
  15. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    Wide Tailz, thanks a lot for your comments and the chart posted. You are quite right, the large time frames (daily/weekly) offer amazing precision, even though it may not appear so. I've also noticed how very simple patterns such as a failed breakdown (July 2009), failed head & shoulder (January...
  16. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    Stop is now set to 1222.00, an area which I perceive as a lower high created today in the new uptrend since yesterday. Today's weakness and subsequent bounce is precisely what a trend follower welcomes, as it is an opportunity to adjust the risk in his favor.
  17. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    Bought @ 1217.25, Stop @ 1202.00 I am long with one contract at 1217.25 upon break of the several day downtrend line, clearly visible in the 4H chart. Very encouraging price action.
  18. Bombardier

    Xmas rally is just starting

    One whole day has passed and we are still looking at the very same picture. Same sh*t, different day.
  19. Bombardier

    ES Trend Following

    There have been no flat support or resistance areas I used to trade until now. And this shortly I started posting in this thread. Either people jumped on the bandwagon and this edge disappeared, or I'm illusioning. If you see any, let me know. Already working on new methods to follow trends.
  20. Bombardier

    Xmas rally is just starting

    I second that. Once the highs you mentioned are broken, we might be really up to something.
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