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  1. Stockolio

    Crude Oil

  2. Stockolio

    The Derivatives Thread

    In terms of netted risk exposure, however, we have actually reduced risk since the two of us are roughly flat in terms of 7-8 year IRS exposure to each other in dv01 terms. In theory what you are saying can technically be right, but in practice isn't. Compression doesn't decrease the risk in...
  3. Stockolio

    The Derivatives Thread

    If European Banks fail, it won't implode the world's financial system ? Is this what you are saying
  4. Stockolio

    The Derivatives Thread

    If every market actor seeks to hedge their risks in a like manner, the total notional value of all OTC derivatives can grow exponentially. Considering the notional values of existing contracts, speculation clearly represents a substantial portion of all OTC derivatives. As the number and total...
  5. Stockolio

    The Derivatives Thread

    If you wish... Interest rate swaps by the way are OTC Derivatives. OTC derivatives can serve a straightforward role as financial insurance policies covering real business risks. In a hedging scenario, an investor that has exposure to a variable interest rate can transfer the risk to a second...
  6. Stockolio

    Industrial Espionage

    https://www.theglobeandmail.com/business/international-business/us-business/article-hundreds-of-us-companies-excused-from-tariff-on-steel-from-china/ https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/steel-tariffs-exclusions-canada-china-1.4748745 So far, the U.S. Department of Commerce has excluded about 40...
  7. Stockolio

    The Derivatives Thread

    Wrong
  8. Stockolio

    Industrial Espionage

    Industrial Espionage has always existed, but they took it to a whole new level. They seem to have bounty's and make it a goal to steal other countries top companies IP... Imagine what they are stealing from Japan and South Korea
  9. Stockolio

    The Derivatives Thread

    What is your thought on this ?
  10. Stockolio

    Industrial Espionage

    The Human Algo is on fire!
  11. Stockolio

    The Derivatives Thread

    https://www.bis.org/statistics/derstats.htm In Q2 2018 OCC's report found, 4 banks on Wall Street had over 90 % of 200 Trillion Derivatives sector in US. Citi had 56.6 Trillion and GS had 59.2 Trillion...
  12. Stockolio

    The Derivatives Thread

    Deutsche Bank had 42 Trillion Euro at end 2016 in Derivatives, 48 Trillion Euro end 2017 https://annualreport.deutsche-bank.com/2017/ar/risk-report/risk-and-capital-performance/credit-risk-exposure/credit-exposure-from-derivatives.html They have cut exposure by a lot in 2018 supposedly, but...
  13. Stockolio

    Risk management on breakout trading

    Let your runners run... You have to know which have more momentum to push and which don't have much more legs and take profits, but this is during normal times For the current sentiment we are in, nothing matters except political. Do not bother with charts to tell you anything even in regular...
  14. Stockolio

    Australia Mortgage Defaults Storm

    Australia Central Bank is about to go on a serious QE this year to bail the banks out and buy corporate bonds to stimulate economy
  15. Stockolio

    Short term bad news for bears

    Bad news short term for bears, excellent news mid to long term... It doesn't change Australia's Interest Only mortgage crisis, European banks failing, Chinese default party and overall economy being in limbo, Corporate debt overload in America or US Shale bond apocalypse coming. China injecting...
  16. Stockolio

    SEC Files Charges in Elaborate Microcap Stock Fraud

    Dealmaker, are you a Human Algo ? =)
  17. Stockolio

    Short term bad news for bears

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-economy-loans/china-banks-throw-open-spigots-in-january-lend-record-323-trillion-yuan-idUSKCN1Q40TJ China entered a recession in second half of 2018, and entered a deep recession in 2019 due to permanent QE since 2014, the best outcome for them would of...
  18. Stockolio

    T

    The AT&T Thread! I will post updates from the bond markets on them, I doubt they will get junked in 2019 tho, that would destroy them.
  19. Stockolio

    Hollywood's Biggest Media Companies Crushed By Debt ?

    https://variety.com/2019/biz/features/att-disney-comcast-debt-1203107407/ Excellent article. AT&T has around 195 Billion of total debt obligations at the moment! With declining subscribers accelerating in 2018, will AT&T even be around in 15-20 years ? Begley notes that AT&T — which has about...
  20. Stockolio

    Deutsch Bank

    Haha Visaria is a tool... Deutsche bank will never fail, it's backed by the German government I wouldn't go long on there stock, but bust is non sense
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