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distance, velocity, acceleration, mean reversion. Get a pendulum and stare it for hours, it'll all make sense

XLE and OIH behave like constant FOMC announcements and are great options spread stocks. I am watching Riskarb and Optioncoach's journals - I come up with a spread and then compare it to what they are doing - great papertrade practice.

Hunh? It's going down hard I'm going long $50,000 in OTM puts on Mon we'll talk then

I agree - I will say is what may help others 1. Started with I can outsmart others attitude (necessary) 2. Finished with I can outstupid myself attitude (necessary) 3. Learned losing feels worse than winning feels good 4. Extinguished crack high hopes of big scores and settled for...

Riskarb reminds us to put things in perspective.. all the difficulty in life is a small price of admission for a front row seat to these miracles...many thanks

Thanks Riskarb this is exc

VIX increases the day before, increasing the SPY put price even though the underlying SPY itself may increase. Watch the SPY put prices two days before. When the market is calm and the VIX begins to rise, buy some SPY puts and watch their price increase. Sell them before the FOMC announcement at...

Take your pick OBV/OBV 5dma cross MS/TSV cross Channel Break Hi/Lo support/resistance break Volume blowoff 5ma reversal MA cross Double top/bot %5ma/20ma Exhaustion Gap Volatility increase/decrease Volume/Price reversal Option Volume, Put/Call ratio Adv/Dec breakdown Mean...

Hello fellow hedge hog: A very good topic. You can base this hedge on: 1. Magnitude and frequency of crashes from historical data 2. Your own comfort and tolerance level 3. Reduced downside volatility in the porfolio at a small price Say something crazy happens and your portfolio...

C'mon! Just for fun. Make your one-time picks now and check back EOY for bragging rights. Check in periodically to post your YTD results. Max 20 stocks. Here are mine: SYM 100 DAY HV % ALLOCATION FII 16 10% SCS 16 10% IWM 16 10% GLD 17 9% EWJ 22 7% CHH 22 7% FLS 26 6% XLE...

whoops, I didn't even read it, it's an assault on Greenie. Oh well, any verbal assault on Wall St or the Govt is ok w/me...:p

Hey moderator, since when was ass-kissing legal on ET???

Check out New Trading Systems (Kaufman) 4th Ed, ch 17, Adaptive Techniques.

http://www.federalreserve.gov/policy.htm

We know your pain! It is the only way we learn. Be happy you completed another course.:D :D :D

Buy the rumor? Oil this high means the Oil Sands/Defense/Gold stocks should benefit. Charts say long Oil/Gold/Defense/Oil. Check it out.

Also, in IB, you can plot the option price history alongside the underlying on the same chart. It's helpful to plot the bid/ask on the option chart and note how the model follows it during sudden spikes. You can even compose a combo and, without actually trading it, plot its value over several...

Put the R/R money management criteria into your stock scan as well. For example, GOOG and NOC recently had about the same rise/risk ratio when trending. Look at the charts from far away and you'll see what I mean.

Hello my friend -the one main advantage of full-time is that all your losses are decuctible as it is your business. You just have to file with the IRS by April 15 to register as a full-time trading. But don't even think about unless you have $100k in the bank - $50k to live on and $50k in...

Karl - price precedes fundamentals. The price already reflects the news. Buy the rumor, sell the news as they say. All analysts suck. They are like drug dealers in an alley. Disregard them totally. They upgrade something when one of their big thug clients needs to sell some stock. They are...