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  1. K

    Inflation Calculator

    It's easy As imbalances are not fixed at some point the world might decide to stop using $ as a reserve currency. Actually probably it happens right now Quite soon after the process is over US will have crisis compared to Argentina in 2000 or Russia in 1998. Check google or wikipedia...
  2. K

    Good job Fed!

    Personal spending 0.6% personal income 0.3% People are confident Fed will bail out and continue to spend despite of all foreclosures! 0.6% up, expected 0.4% and it's even before rate cut Oil 100 by the new year. American dollar worth 0.995 canadian Euro 1.42, by the year end 1.5 or...
  3. K

    What the hell just happened in Crude?

    Fed must learn its lesson. Don't cut to bail out your friends saying you concerned about the economy
  4. K

    I guess the fed was right?

    1. euro rates are lower and dollar still loses its value. no chance dollar stabilize if euro starts cutting. don't forget US just 300 millin people and the world is 6.5 billion. Us is less important as it was 5 years ago. In Euros US GDP probably contracted during the last years Consumers...
  5. K

    Ever wondered what are the *real* inflation numbers?

    If you noticed S&P had double digit profit growth during the last several years. And median wages decreased. So definetely margins increased because people are paid less than before
  6. K

    I guess the fed was right?

    Even if get into recession it's heathy. You must not prevent recession. You just need to go through it. It's just like the winter for the nature. You can't and must not prevent winter From the other side inflation is not healthy. You must prevent inflation. If speaking about the Fed their...
  7. K

    What the hell just happened in Crude?

    what interesting yesterday they had no explanation. They thought about depression in the Gulf or something else. And evntually today it's no-brainer:D And another 2 $ today up. On bearish news. Really no brainer. Probably $100 by November
  8. K

    What the hell just happened in Crude?

    what if we just see dollar colapse? Euro making new highs everyday Oil gets cheaper for europeans and the whole world they don't care how much it's in dollars And US prints dollars so oil price is not a problem in the USA either
  9. K

    Ever wondered what are the *real* inflation numbers?

    Yeah, low skilled manufacturing jobs that paid 20-30$hour are change to high skilled Walmart 8 $
  10. K

    Ever wondered what are the *real* inflation numbers?

    that's right 30 years ago credit was not so common. People saved. Th e only credit most people had was thier mortgage Nowdays all prosperity is based on credit If credit stops all prosperity will dissappear And it might happen quite soon if the world abolish dollar as its reserve currency
  11. K

    Ever wondered what are the *real* inflation numbers?

    Maybe your standards of living has changed but overall population is poorer than 10 years ago and much poorer than 30 years ago ANd that's even considering official infaltion rate Check Internet there are a lot of information there
  12. K

    Briefing.com rises market view back to "Moderately bullish"

    While the market is driven by just 5 people FOMC members their analysis means nothing Another 50 bp cut another 2000 point rally for Dow
  13. K

    Whaaaa what happend to the Lowes miss?

    Euro is at record high today US economy shrinking 10% a year in Euros If it's not a depression then what?
  14. K

    Bonds Behaving Short

    10 y up a lot and dollar down again I think it's tie to sell 10y now
  15. K

    Is there anything in the world to force the Fed to emergency rate rise?

    For example, if 10 y bond will reach 6% and stay there Will the raise? Or they can just buy them with newly printed $? Or maybe oil at $120? Or they will think it's a tax on economy and cut instead? Or CPI 5%? or they will change how it's counted so they will still have 2%? What...
  16. K

    Is it just me, or is the .50 drop BAD for the econ?

    global demand is the result of weak dollar As it's more affordable to evereyone except US. So it's time to go through healthy recession, Stop being obsessed about consumer spending, support $ and curb demand for commodities
  17. K

    Hows that dollar doing???

    dollar is crashing. Enjoy your rate cuts AUD is up 15% from its August lows CAd 8% up And yen almost unchanged despite 1500 points rally in Dow
  18. K

    why are stocks ignoring yen skying today?

    Fed prints enough money. Carry trade is not needed anymore
  19. K

    Shocked by fed decision

    what???? and why was discount rate cut on options expirations day? Any reasonable explation why it couldn't be done a day later? What was it if not a bail out?
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