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  1. K

    POLL: Massive rally if bailout plan unveiled?

    we have earnings recession and possible economy recession bailout might prevent a collapse but historical highs now with declining earnings? And don't forget - dollar is not down in 4q yet so earnings will be even worse where to rally?
  2. K

    Anyone think massive reversal around 230 ?

    Yes we can see how they create a crisis after crisis to be sure - those accomplished economists are not correct
  3. K

    So rate cut is guaranteed

    According to this headline Kohn: Can't hold economy hostage to teach speculators lesson I guess it might be even 50 bp
  4. K

    Why VIX in not exploding today?

    I'd expect it to be up 10-20% no fear?
  5. K

    Why to short the Canadian Dollar

    It looks like oil sales will be deregulated very soon and oil countries will start selling oil for their own currencies and then US will have to buy canadian dollars to pay for its oil by that time I wouldn't exclude 10 US$ for 1C$ and beyond, probably tripling each year Canadians will...
  6. K

    Anyone buying this little dip?

    I sold several ES 1300 dec puts I would love to have ES at these prices as a Cristmas gift
  7. K

    Fed Funds Effective 4.22%

    http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/omo/dmm/fedfundsdata.cfm Does that mean despite Fed cut target rate 0.25% in reality they cut 0.5%?
  8. K

    benefits of a strong cad$?

    don't be a fool. US will beg for what is made in Canada and pay any price for it - because Canada makes oil, natural gas, grains etc. If US doesn't need it. We don't mind. China will buy everything
  9. K

    benefits of a strong cad$?

    strong currency means healthy economy and sound monetary policy, super low input costs, cheap new technologies, and consumer benefits from low prices, it just doesn't happen overnight there are no disadvantages from strong currencies why do we need poor american tourists? There are...
  10. K

    Why to short the Canadian Dollar

    at what currency rate canadian economy will become bigger than american?
  11. K

    Here is what will happen in 6 weeks

    it happens faster than I expected yesterday it was 25% chance to have a 25bp rate cut and now it's 50% Probably market will want 50 bp in December And doesn't matter what Fed says - market wants more cuts and they will get it
  12. K

    Black thursday.

    ES -20 We need emergency rate cut now!
  13. K

    Here is what will happen in 6 weeks

    Fed futures will start rising 2 weeks before Fed meeting and by the date rate cut will be priced in for 95% So Bernanke will cut to prevent market turmoil and meet expectations It will happen another 16 times every 6 weeks from now
  14. K

    Goldman Says `Take Profits' After Crude Hit Record

    add oil sands and oil shale and we can easily last for 200 hundred years it just for proven reserves it's likely those proven reserves would go up so add another 100-200 years if we count other substitutes like NG and Coal it's nother 500-700 years so we have already 1000 years to go don't...
  15. K

    Now why is the fed cutting rates?????

    makloda we all know you think Why to bother and reply each time the same thing? Create your own big thread about Bush/Bernanke/ Paulson honest people, no inflation, rate cut needed,
  16. K

    Now why is the fed cutting rates?????

    It's easy Have you seen any movies where people were sent to jail? If they wanted others not to touch their asses they had to do something even though it was stupid or even dangerous. Like steeleing somethin from the guards The same with Bernanke. Goldman says - if you don't cut we will put...
  17. K

    Oil at $93.50 and rocketing

    If oil stays above 90 till February RB will hit 3 by that time and gas at the pump will be around 4 Although oil is up $25 since Fed first cut in August and as they think there is no inflation and continue cut rates oil should reach $120 and gas at the pump 5 by the end of spring
  18. K

    Bubble World

    gnome, we probably now already have stagflation with real inlation around 5-10% and GDP growth 4-5% not price adjusted - I don't know other word to call it Although to deflate housing bubble through inflation we will need 50-100% compounded inflation within 2-3 years I'm not sure even...
  19. K

    Bubble World

    meeting Jessy Jackson he shows he doesn't want to prevent recession and he doesn't care about inflation He wants to save his ass It's not possible to prevent recession. He must allow housing bubble to deflate. The only assistance home owners should get is the government must take all...
  20. K

    Bubble World

    the problem here that in the light of the last developments we can't trust corparations as they all use creative accounting They create SIV, backdate options, announce buy backs taking debt, excluded charges that happen every quater current stock prices can't be mesuared by good old p/e, peg...
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